益普索-世界经济脉搏（英文版）-2018.6-58页-5mb

报告摘要

Global Advisor Economic Pulse Summary (Wave 109, April-May 2018)

Overview

The Global Advisor Wave 109 survey, conducted between April 20th and May 3rd, 2018, collected data from 21,268 adults across 28 countries to assess the current state of national and local economies, as well as future economic outlooks. The results highlight a global economic sentiment with some notable trends and variations among countries.

Survey Methodology

The survey was conducted monthly using the Ipsos Online Panel system.
The sample sizes varied: 1,000+ participants for the US, Israel, and Canada, and 500+ for the rest of the countries.
The precision of the polls is calculated using a credibility interval: 1,000 participants are accurate to ±3.1 percentage points, and 500 participants are accurate to ±4.5 percentage points.
15 countries (Argentina, Australia, Belgium, Canada, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hungary, Italy, Japan, Poland, South Korea, Spain, Sweden, and the United States) have nationally representative samples.
The remaining 13 countries (Brazil, China, Chile, India, Israel, Malaysia, Mexico, Peru, Russia, Saudi Arabia, Serbia, South Africa, and Turkey) have samples that are more urban, educated, and high-income, referred to as "Upper Deck Consumer Citizens."

National Economic Assessment

The global average of national economic assessment remains unchanged at 47%, with citizens rating their national economies as "good."
Top countries in national economic assessment:
- China: 84%
- Germany: 83%
- Saudi Arabia: 81%
- India: 74%
- Israel: 66%
- Sweden: 65%
- United States: 63%
- Australia: 62%
- Belgium: 58%
- Poland: 57%
Bottom countries in national economic assessment:
- Brazil: 15%
- Italy: 18%
- Argentina: 21%
- Spain: 22%
- South Africa: 22%
- Mexico: 26%
- France: 28%
- Hungary: 31%
- Turkey: 32%
Countries with the greatest improvements:
- Belgium: +8%
- Poland: +7%
- Great Britain: +6%
- South Korea: +5%
- Malaysia: +5%
- Israel: +4%
- Hungary: +3%
- Germany: +3%
- Russia: +2%
- Mexico: +2%
Countries with the greatest declines:
- Argentina: -9%
- Canada: -7%
- South Africa: -7%
- China: -5%
- Turkey: -5%
- Chile: -4%
- Sweden: -4%
- United States: -3%
- India: -2%
- Italy: -2%

Local Economic Assessment

The global average of local economic assessment increased by one point to 36%.
Top countries in local economic assessment:
- China: 72%
- Israel: 66%
- Saudi Arabia: 62%
- Germany: 58%
- United States: 58%
- Sweden: 57%
- India: 55%
- Chile: 46%
- Canada: 42%
- Australia: 41%
- Poland: 38%
Bottom countries in local economic assessment:
- Serbia: 14%
- Italy: 15%
- Japan: 18%
- Spain: 18%
- Mexico: 20%
- South Africa: 20%
- Argentina: 20%
- Brazil: 21%
- Hungary: 21%
- Russia: 23%
Countries with the greatest improvements:
- Russia: +8%
- Poland: +8%
- Malaysia: +7%
- South Korea: +4%
- Great Britain: +3%
- Brazil: +3%
- Belgium: +3%
- United States: +2%
- Sweden: +2%
- Peru: +2%
- Germany: +2%
Countries with the greatest declines:
- Chile: -7%
- Italy: -4%
- Argentina: -3%
- Canada: -3%
- China: -3%
- India: -3%
- South Africa: -3%

Future Outlook for Local Economy

The global average of future outlook for the local economy remains unchanged at 29%, with nearly one third of respondents expecting their local economy to be stronger in six months.
Top countries in future outlook:
- Saudi Arabia: 61%
- China: 59%
- India: 57%
- Chile: 55%
- Brazil: 54%
- Peru: 52%
- Argentina: 37%
- United States: 37%
- Mexico: 35%
- South Korea: 33%
- Turkey: 29%
Bottom countries in future outlook:
- Italy: 10%
- France: 11%
- Japan: 12%
- Belgium: 12%
- Hungary: 15%
- Sweden: 16%
- Israel: 17%
- Spain: 17%
- Canada: 18%
- Germany: 18%
Countries with the greatest improvements:
- South Korea: +9%
- Great Britain: +7%
- Poland: +5%
- Turkey: +4%
- Saudi Arabia: +4%
- United States: +3%
- Malaysia: +3%
- Australia: +3%
- Sweden: +2%
- Mexico: +2%
- China: +2%
Countries with the greatest declines:
- Hungary: -16%
- Argentina: -5%
- Italy: -5%
- Russia: -5%
- South Africa: -5%
- Chile: -4%
- Spain: -4%
- Belgium: -3%
- Israel: -2%

Regional Analysis

National Economic Assessment by Region

Region	% of Citizens Rating National Economy as "Good"	Change from Last Wave
North America	59%	-5%
APAC	54%	0%
BRIC	52%	-1%
Middle East/Africa	50%	-2%
G-8 Countries	46%	0%
Europe	45%	+2%
LATAM	34%	-2%

Local Economic Assessment by Region

Region	% of Citizens Rating Local Economy as "Strong"	Change from Last Wave
North America	50%	0%
Middle East/Africa	44%	0%
BRIC	43%	+1%
APAC	39%	0%
G-8 Countries	34%	+1%
Europe	32%	+2%
LATAM	27%	-2%

Future Outlook for Local Economy by Region

Region	% of Citizens Expecting Local Economy to Be "Stronger"	Change from Last Wave
BRIC	47%	-1%
LATAM	46%	-2%
APAC	33%	+1%
Middle East/Africa	33%	0%
North America	28%	+2%
G-8 Countries	18%	0%
Europe	16%	-2%

Key Observations

China continues to lead in both national and local economic assessments, with a strong 84% national rating and 72% local rating.
Belgium and Poland show the most significant improvements in national economic assessment, while Argentina and Canada show the largest declines.
Russia and Poland experience the most significant improvements in local economic assessment, with Hungary showing the largest decline.
Saudi Arabia leads in future economic outlook, with 61% of respondents expecting a stronger local economy in six months.
Hungary has the lowest future outlook, with only 10% expecting improvement.
Regional trends show mixed results, with Europe and BRIC seeing slight improvements in economic assessments, while LATAM and Middle East/Africa show declines.

This summary provides a comprehensive view of the economic sentiment across 28 countries, highlighting both the positive and negative trends in national and local assessments, as well as future expectations.

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