20150702-兴业证券-A-Share_Daily_Express_11页_737kb
报告摘要
Summary of Document Content
Core Content
The document provides a comprehensive overview of the Chinese stock market performance on June 28 and 30, 2015, alongside detailed financial and operational data for two listed companies: Suofeiya Home Collection (002572.SZ) and Shenzhen Kingdom Sci-Tech (600446.SH). It includes market indices, sector performance, company events, analyst reports, and key financial indicators.
Market Indices Overview
- SSE Composite Index: Closed at 3912.77, down 3.48%.
- SZSE Component Index: Closed at 12924.19, down 5.32%.
- CSI 300 Index: Closed at 4108.00, down 3.41%.
- ChiNext Index: Closed at 2649.32, down 3.99%.
- HSI (Hang Seng Index): Closed at 26282.32, up 0.12%.
- HSCEI (Hang Seng China Enterprises Index): Closed at 12784.65, down 1.51%.
- Market Turnover: CNY 1286 billion, down 15.8% from previous levels.
Main Market Trends
- The Chinese stock market continued its downward trend on June 28, 2015, despite regulatory interventions such as relaxed margin buying rules and reduced transaction fees.
- Financial blue chips showed some resilience in the late afternoon, but most stocks fell sharply, dragging down indices.
- The decline was more pronounced in sectors such as oil & gas, transportation, and power, with some companies hitting daily lower limits.
- The market sentiment was generally negative, with declining issues outnumbering advancing ones by a ratio of 15.4:1.
Sector Review Highlights
- Banks: Bank of Communications (601328) rose 2.54%, while China CITIC Bank (601998) surged to daily limit.
- Oil & Gas: Petrochina (601857) jumped 8.75%, lifting the sector.
- Brokerage Firms: Huatai Securities (601688) gained 3.65%, outperforming the market.
- Transportation & Power: Suffered significant corrections, with China Southern Airlines (600029) and Daqin Railway (601006) hitting daily lower limits. GD Power (600795) and Zhejiang Zheneng (600023) plummeted by 10.00% and 9.90%, respectively.
- Light Industry & Others: Also faced substantial declines.
Daily Headlines
- The Chinese government announced measures to support equity markets, including faster introduction of margin-trading rules and lower transaction fees.
- There were discussions about potential rate cuts in the second half of the year, contingent on inflation levels.
- Experts suggested that injecting liquidity during market declines could help stabilize the stock market.
- Natural gas price liberalization was mentioned as a steady process.
- The National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) has more projects in the pipeline, including 4 packages for emerging industries, manufacturing, logistics, and urban rail.
Company Events
- CCB (601939.SH): CSRC official Wang Lin may join the bank.
- China Comm. Const. (601800.SH): Dredging unit submitted HK listing application and signed a $705 million tunnel contract in Bangladesh; preferred share sale approved.
- China Cosco (601919.SH): Received CNY 3.96 billion in ship-scrapping subsidies.
- China Railway Gp (601390.SH): Won bids totaling ~CNY 38.2 billion.
- China Shipping Dev. (600026.SH): Xu Lirong named chairman; unit to buy 4 ships for $199.9 million.
- CRRC (601766.SH): Delivered 12 locomotives to Kenya.
- Everbright Sec. (601788.SH): Private placement approved.
- Goldwind (002202.SZ): To proceed with Australian project.
- Jiabao Ind. (600622.SH): Plans to raise up to CNY 1.99 billion in share sale.
- Jihua Gp (601718.SH): Plans to raise up to CNY 8 billion in private placement.
- Junzheng Energy (601216.SH): Plans to raise up to CNY 7 billion in share sale.
- TCL (000100.SZ): To buy back up to CNY 795 million in shares.
Suofeiya Home Collection (002572.SZ)
Key Financial Indicators
| FY | 2014 | 2015E | 2016E | 2017E |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue (Mn/CNY) | 2361 | 3350 | 4624 | 6445 |
| YoY (%) | 32.4% | 41.9% | 38.0% | 39.4% |
| Net Profit (Mn/CNY) | 327 | 456 | 621 | 830 |
| YoY (%) | 33.5% | 39.4% | 36.3% | 33.7% |
| EPS (CNY) | 0.74 | 1.03 | 1.41 | 1.88 |
| OCFPS (CNY) | 0.80 | 0.96 | 1.37 | 1.85 |
Key Financial Ratios
| FY | 2014 | 2015E | 2016E | 2017E |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 64.3 | 46.4 | 34.2 | 25.6 |
| PB | 10.8 | 9.2 | 7.8 | 6.5 |
Company Profile
- Founded in 2001, based in Zengcheng.
- Engages in the R&D, manufacture, import, export, and distribution of kitchen devices and furniture.
- Offers customer-tailored home products including closets and furniture.
- Markets through approximately 800 outlets.
Stock Ownership Plans
- The company released a draft employee stock ownership plan (ESOP) and a plan for furniture dealers.
- Total funds raised: CNY 283 million.
- Employees and dealers could purchase up to 24.53 million shares (5.53% of total share capital).
- Lock-up periods: 12 months for employees, 30 months for dealers.
- The plans suggest confidence in the company's future and could help connect online and offline channels.
Analyst Comments
- The company is the absolute leader in the customer-tailored furniture industry.
- It derives core competence from advanced production systems and cost optimization, not just distribution.
- The company is expected to benefit from the trend of home integration.
- Earnings forecast: EPS at CNY 1.03 (2015), CNY 1.41 (2016), CNY 1.88 (2017).
- Potential risks include slower expansion into the cabinet market and intensified competition.
Shenzhen Kingdom Sci-Tech (600446.SH)
Key Financial Indicators
| FY | 2014 | 2015E | 2016E | 2017E |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue (Mn/CNY) | 2368 | 2828 | 3433 | 4191 |
| YoY (%) | 16.6% | 19.4% | 21.4% | 22.1% |
| Net Profit (Mn/CNY) | 153 | 216 | 312 | 437 |
| YoY (%) | 40.4% | 40.9% | 44.4% | 40.2% |
| EPS (CNY) | 0.58 | 0.81 | 1.17 | 1.65 |
| OCFPS (CNY) | 0.38 | 0.27 | 0.75 | 1.11 |
Company Profile
- Develops and markets financial security software.
- Provides computer system integration and maintenance services.
- Announced a 50:50 joint venture with Guofuyuan Venture Capital to offer equity-based crowd-funding services.
- Acquired 90% stake in Rengu Technology (Beijing) with CNY 9 million investment.
Analyst Comments
- The company's Internet finance innovations are showing positive results.
- Active expansion in the banking industry and equity-based crowd-funding market.
- Earnings forecast: EPS at CNY 0.81 (2015), CNY 1.17 (2016), CNY 1.65 (2017).
- Maintained BUY rating.
- Potential risks include unexpected Internet securities policies and slower progress in Internet finance development.
Key Data and Financial Highlights
Suofeiya Home Collection (002572.SZ)
- Closing Price: CNY 47.69
- Total Shares (Mn): 440.99
- Shares Outstanding (Mn): 255.54
- Market Cap (CNY/Mn): CNY 21,030.81
- Market Float (CNY/Mn): CNY 12,186.46
- Net Assets (CNY/Mn): CNY 1,980.07
- Total Assets (CNY/Mn): CNY 2,475.51
- BVPS (CNY): 4.49
Shenzhen Kingdom Sci-Tech (600446.SH)
- Closing Price: CNY 123.46
- Total Shares (Mn): 276.84
- Shares Outstanding (Mn): 265.64
- Market Cap (CNY/Mn): CNY 34,178.11
- Market Float (CNY/Mn): CNY 32,795.36
- Net Assets (CNY/Mn): CNY 868.33
- Total Assets (CNY/Mn): CNY 21,256.3
- BVPS (CNY): 3.14
Conclusion
Both companies are highlighted as promising investment opportunities. Suofeiya Home Collection is expected to benefit from the customer-tailored furniture trend, while Shenzhen Kingdom Sci-Tech is positioned to gain from its Internet finance initiatives. Analysts maintain a BUY rating for both, despite potential risks.
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