亚洲开发银行:亚洲发展展望报告(2023年12月版)_14页_801kb
报告摘要
Asian Development Outlook Summary (December 2023)
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Developing Asia's growth is expected to rise from 4.3% in 2022 to 4.9% in 2023, with a forecast of 4.8% in 2024. This is driven by healthy domestic demand, stronger remittances, and recovering tourism.
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Inflation is moderating, decreasing from 4.4% in 2022 to 3.5% in 2023, projected at 3.6% in 2024. Price pressures are easing due to declining energy and food costs.
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Risks include higher-for-longer interest rates in advanced economies, potential impacts on financially fragile nations, weather-related shocks, and geopolitical tensions.
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Notable economic contributors include strong consumption and investment in many economies, with electronics exports stabilizing after weak performance in 2022.
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Downside risks center on China's property market weakness, which could drag down domestic growth, and the potential for economic challenges due to elevated debt levels in highly indebted sectors.
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Global demand slowdown is anticipated to be less severe, supporting continued economic resilience in the region.
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