战略与国际研究中心-Select-Briefing-Vol-2,-No-35_2页_139kb
报告摘要
Central European Update Summary
Poland
- Presidential Election: The presidential election in Poland is scheduled for 9 October 2005. According to a poll from 3–4 September, Donald Tusk leads with 41% support, followed by Lech Kaczynski (21%) and Wlodzimierz Cimoszewicz (19%).
- Political Controversy: On 5 September, presidential candidate Wlodzimierz Cimoszewicz asked the prime minister to disclose documents suggesting that the State Protection Office (UOP) had placed an intelligence operative within the leadership of the Solidarity Trade Union. President Aleksander Kwasniewski dismissed the issue as irrelevant to the campaign, urging candidates to focus on the future.
- Economic Development: LG Philips LCD announced plans to build a "back-end" module production plant in Wroclaw, Poland, investing 429 million euros. The plant is expected to reach a design capacity of 11 million units per year by 2011. This reflects a trend of major TV manufacturers establishing production facilities in Central and Eastern Europe due to growing demand and favorable investment conditions.
Czech Republic
- Military Training in Iraq: On 6 September, Czech military policy spokesman Jan Cermak announced that Czech military policemen in Iraq have expanded their training to include arms specialists and border police at the request of Iraqi authorities. The extension of the mission requires parliamentary approval and presidential signing.
- Sanctions Lifted Against Libya: On 7 September, the Czech government decided to lift sanctions against Libya, which had been in place since 1997. The move must be approved by parliament and signed by President Václav Klaus.
Hungary
- Airport Privatization: On 5 September, ground workers at Ferihegy Airport in Budapest went on strike for two hours, demanding better wages and working conditions during the airport's privatization. Finance Minister Janos Veres noted that the deal is expected to be the largest privatization in Hungary's history.
- Ethnic Hungarian ID Proposal: The Hungarian government proposed a special ID for ethnic Hungarians abroad who can prove descent from former Hungarian citizens. Some politicians believe this could be accepted by the EU.
Slovakia
- Airport Tender: On 5 September, the Slovak transportation ministry announced that eight investors have submitted preliminary bids for purchasing 66% stakes in the Bratislava and Kosice airports. The tender is expected to close by the end of the year.
- Economy Minister Change: On 6 September, Prime Minister Mikulas Dzurinda announced that Jirko Malcharek, a member of the Liberal Party (ANO), would replace Pavol Rusko as economy minister. Rusko was dismissed over unexplained loans totaling $2.5 million.
Baltic States Update
Latvia
- Schengen Accession: On 3 September, European Commission Vice President Franco Frattini stated that the lack of a border treaty with Russia should not prevent Latvia from joining the Schengen area in 2007. The border treaty had been delayed due to disputes over historical issues.
- Military Cooperation: On 7 September, defense ministers of Armenia and Latvia signed a military cooperation agreement in Riga. Latvia emphasized its increased focus on the Caucasus region since joining NATO in 2004.
- Economic Growth: According to an 8 September report, Latvia's economy grew by 9.5% in the first half of the year compared to 2004, with transport, communications, and construction sectors showing the highest growth.
Estonia
- EU Membership Negotiations with Turkey: On 6 September, Estonian President Arnold Rüütel expressed support for starting EU membership negotiations with Turkey in October.
- Visa Regime: On 2 September, Estonian officials stated that due to Moscow's withdrawal from the border treaty, Russian citizens would not have a simplified visa regime for travel to the EU. The Estonian government emphasized the need to secure the EU's external border.
Lithuania
- Provincial Reconstruction Team: On 3 September, the Lithuania-led Provincial Reconstruction Team in Afghanistan's Ghor province moved to a new camp for better facilities and security, funded by the U.S. Solidarity Fund.
- Visa Waiver Program: On 2 September, European Commission Vice President Franco Frattini announced plans to advocate for the lifting of U.S. visa requirements for new EU member states during his October visit to Washington. Lithuania is also issuing passports with electronic chips containing biometric data.
Southeast European Update
Slovenia
- Euro Adoption: Central Bank Governor Mitja Gaspari stated that Slovenia is on track to adopt the euro by 2007. However, he warned that rising crude oil prices could create inflationary pressures.
- OSCE Reform: On 7 September, Slovenian Foreign Minister Dimitrij Rupel addressed a conference on OSCE reform in Brdo Pri Kranju. He called for member states to identify short-, medium-, and long-term concerns and for the organization to strengthen its political and military dimensions.
Croatia
- EU Accession Negotiations: Czech President Vaclav Klaus expressed support for launching EU accession negotiations with Croatia regardless of the status of fugitive general Ante Gotovina. He also urged Croatia to avoid the negative consequences of the failed EU Constitution referendum in France and the Netherlands.
- Regional Support: Slovenia, Croatia's northern neighbor, also supports Croatia's EU membership, despite recent border tensions.
Bulgaria
- NATO Relations: NATO Secretary General Jaap de Hoop Scheffer praised Bulgaria's foreign and security agenda and its role as a stable NATO partner. He encouraged continued military modernization under Plan 2015.
- EU Accession Reforms: Bulgarian Foreign Minister Ivalo Kalfin stated that constitutional and legal reforms required for EU accession would be completed by the end of the year. The draft penal code, approved in parliament on 25 August, needs a second reading by mid-October.
- Human Rights Issue with Libya: Bulgaria is offering aid to Libya to help combat the spread of AIDS, in an effort to convince Tripoli to free five Bulgarian medics sentenced to death in 2004 for alleged contamination of blood transfusions. International groups suspect the charges were fabricated to cover up poor hygiene in Libyan hospitals.
Romania
- Foreign Investment Growth: Prime Minister Calin Popescu Tariceanu reported a 15% increase in foreign investment for the first half of 2005, reaching 1.48 billion euros. However, he warned that high tax evasion remains a barrier to further growth.
- Security Concerns: President Traian Basescu called for Western support in addressing the security threats from "frozen conflicts" in Transnistria, Abkhazia, Southern Ossetia, and Nagorno-Karabakh. He emphasized the need for financial aid and managerial expertise for new democracies in the region.
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