2025-06-16-花旗集团-迈普思(MBFL)_Mphasis(MBFL.BO)模型更新_13页_684kb
报告摘要
Mphasis (MBFL.BO) Citigroup Research Report
Date: June 16, 2025
Financial Overview
- Estimates Revised: For FY26E and FY27E, Earnings Per Share (EPS) and Net Profit are marginally higher than previous forecasts due to exchange rate and operational changes.
- Key Metrics (FY25A-FY28E):
- Net Profit grows steadily (e.g., 17,024 crore in FY25A, projected to 23,708 crore in FY28E).
- EPS increases from ₹89.25 in 2025 to ₹124.30 in 2028E.
- P/E ratio decreases from 32.6x to 21.4x by FY28E.
- Payout: Dividend yield ranges from 2.1% to 2.6%, payout ratio stays between 56% and 67%.
Recommendation and Valuation
- Neutral Rating: Remains unchanged.
- Target Price: Revised to ₹2,830 (up from earlier ₹2,610), based on 26x P/E for FY27E.
- Expected Returns: 6.2% share price return, 8.7% total return by FY27.
Risks
- Upside Catalysts: Strong pent-up demand in US/Europe, INR depreciation.
- Downside Risks: Prolonged US/Europe slowdown, rupee appreciation, or delays in mortgage recovery.
Analyst Certification
- Rajiv Berlia is the primary analyst.
- Full disclaimers issued, noting potential conflicts of interest and disclosures under regulations like COTI.
Key Notes
- Guidance on investment rating definitions: Buy (15%+ ETR), Neutral (insufficient catalysts), Sell (negative ETR).
- Valuation justified by expected growth, though P/E is at a premium to five-year averages.
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