20211014-IRENA-Renewable_Energy_Prospects_China_116页_2mb

China has developed rapidly as a leader in renewable energy, with policies driving growth. The Reference Case shows limited renewable expansion, focusing on hydro, wind, and solar PV under status quo policies. Renewable energy's share in total final energy consumption (TFEC) peaks at about 17% in 2030, but REmap 2030 suggests potential for a significantly higher 26% through accelerated deployment.

Key barriers include increasing grid curtailment, higher costs, policy uncertainties, and local content issues for solar PV and offshore wind technologies. Specific challenges include grid integration issues, insufficient transmission networks, and resolving barriers to biomass supply chains. The impact on externalities and avoided health and climate costs needs clearer assessment.

Recommendations include developing a national energy plan covering transmission infrastructure, policy mechanisms like carbon pricing or renewable portfolio standards, and targeted incentives for emerging renewable technologies like offshore wind, CSP, and large-scale biogas to enhance renewable adoption by 2030.