2017年-FCA英国金融行为监管局_mlar_commentary_sept_2013_10页_391kb
报告摘要
Summary of Mortgage Lenders and Administrators Statistics: Q2 2013
Core Content
This document provides a detailed overview of mortgage lending statistics in the UK for Q2 2013, derived from the Mortgage Lenders & Administrators Return (MLAR). It covers residential loan amounts, new business volumes, lending characteristics, interest rate trends, and arrears and possession data.
Key Statistics
Residential Loan Amounts Outstanding
- Total: £1,229.7 billion in Q2 2013, an increase of 0.1% compared to Q1 2013 and 0.5% over the past four quarters.
- Regulated Loans: £960.5 billion, accounting for 78% of the total, with a continued upward trend.
- Non-regulated Loans: £269.2 billion, decreased by 0.6% in the quarter.
- Securitised Loans: £116.0 billion, showing a declining trend since 2009, down 2.0% from Q1 2013.
- Unsecuritised Loans: £1,113.7 billion, continued to increase, now representing the largest portion of the total.
- Securitised proportion: Decreased to 9.4% of total, the lowest since 2007.
New Business Volumes
- Gross Advances: £41.6 billion, the highest since Q3 2011 and 13% higher than Q2 2012. A 23% increase from Q1 2013, the highest quarterly increase since 2007.
- Net Advances: £5.1 billion, up 8.6% compared to Q2 2012.
- New Commitments: £47.5 billion, up 19% from Q2 2012 and the largest quarterly amount since Q3 2008.
- Gross Advances by Purpose:
- House Purchase: £27.1 billion (65.0% of gross advances), up 1.6 percentage points from Q1 2013.
- Remortgage: £11.8 billion (28.3% of gross advances), up 14% in value terms from Q2 2012.
- Buy to let (BTL): £5.0 billion (12.1% of gross advances), up 29% over the past year.
- Other (including lifetime and equity release mortgages): £1.6 billion (3.8% of gross advances), a slight increase from Q1 2013.
Interest Rate Trends
- Fixed Rate Loans:
- Proportion of Gross Advances: Increased to 75.3% in Q2 2013, up 4.6 percentage points from Q1 2013, the highest since 2007.
- Proportion of Outstanding Balances: Increased to 29.3%, up 0.9 percentage points from Q1 2013.
- Average Interest Rates:
- Gross Advances: Decreased to 3.47%, the lowest since the series began.
- Fixed Rate Loans: 3.58%, down 22bps.
- Variable Rate Loans: 3.14%, down 14bps.
- Total Outstanding Balances: Decreased slightly to 3.43%, down 4bps.
- Fixed Rate Balances: 4.22%, the lowest since the series began.
- Variable Rate Balances: Remained at 3.10%.
- Gross Advances: Decreased to 3.47%, the lowest since the series began.
Lending Criteria
- High LTV (over 90%): Increased to 2.5% of gross advances, the highest since Q2 2009.
- High Single Income Multiple (over 4.00x): Increased slightly to 10.2%.
- High Joint Income Multiple (over 3.00x): Increased to 24.8%.
- High LTV and High Income Multiple: Increased to 1.6% of gross advances, the highest since Q2 2009.
Arrears and Possessions
- New Arrears Cases: 32,500 in Q2 2013, down 12% from Q1 2013, the lowest since 2007.
- Total Loan Accounts in Arrears: 292,200, down 2.5% from Q1 2013, the lowest since Q4 2007.
- Proportion of Loan Book in Arrears: 2.3%, down 0.1 percentage points from Q1 2013.
- Performance of Arrears Cases: Improved to 60.5%, the fourth consecutive quarter of improvement.
- Arrears by Severity:
- 1.5% < 2.5%: 0.72% of total loan balances.
- 2.5% < 5.0%: 0.77% of total loan balances.
- 5% or more: 0.69% of total loan balances.
- In Possession Cases:
- New Possessions: 7,795, down 10% from Q2 2012.
- Possession Sales: 8,506, little change from Q1 2013, but down 6.4% over the past year.
- Stock of Possessions: 12,034, the lowest since the series began in 2007.
- Capitalisations of Arrears: £27 million on 7,556 accounts, unchanged from Q2 2012 but down 4.0% in number.
Main Points
- The residential loan book in Q2 2013 showed a slight increase, with regulated loans driving growth and non-regulated loans declining.
- The proportion of fixed rate loans in both gross advances and outstanding balances reached record highs.
- The average interest rate on gross advances hit a new low, with both fixed and variable rates declining.
- The proportion of new lending for house purchase increased, reversing a recent downward trend.
- The number of arrears cases and possession cases decreased, indicating improved performance and a reduction in defaults.
- The use of securitisation continued to decline, with unsecuritised loans dominating the market.
- Lending to high LTV and high income multiple borrowers increased, reflecting a return to riskier lending practices.
Key Information
- The data are not seasonally adjusted and cover both regulated and non-regulated mortgages.
- The MLAR data is compiled and published jointly by the Bank of England and FCA since April 2013.
- The 1.5% threshold for arrears reporting replaced the previous 2.5% threshold.
- The data includes details on lending flows, balances, and criteria such as LTV and income multiples.
- The data provides insights into the performance of loans in arrears and the use of temporary concessions and capitalisations.
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