2023-12-18-IE大学-未来50年的趋势报告_104页_49mb
报告摘要
- The IE Center for the Governance of Change initiated a global foresight exercise to identify key trends for the next 50 years using collective intelligence from G20 citizens and expert analysis.
- Foresight involves proactive strategy and preparation for future risks and opportunities, drawing on scenarios from technology, economy, environment, existential threats, and education.
- Methodology included a multi-iteration survey process: initial consolidation of scenarios, public opinion polling in 20 G20 countries with 8,000 respondents, and expert panel input.
- Key emerging trends: Artificial Intelligence will integrate into daily life, enhancing productivity and healthcare; climate crisis will worsen but green energy transitions are prioritized; wealth inequality may increase; job markets will shift toward skill-based competency.
- Highlighted uncertainties: Existential risks like climate catastrophe, pandemics, and AI governance are central challenges; education will involve AI-driven personalization while emphasizing humanities for ethical reasoning.
- Conclusion: Strategic foresight is essential for navigating exponential technological change, fostering resilience and equity to invent a desirable future for society.
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