2021-10-31-牛津经济研究院-US_Recovery_Tracker_climbs_within_reach_of_pre-Covid_level_3页_403kb

The US Recovery Tracker reached 99.3 in October, its highest level since February 2020, driven by improvements in all six dimensions of economic recovery, including financial conditions, mobility, production, employment, health, and modestly better demand. This rebound is supported by declining COVID-19 cases, rising vaccination rates, and sustained health improvements, which are expected to boost Q4 real GDP growth to 4% after a 2% gain in Q3. However, ongoing supply chain issues and sticky inflation may continue to constrain demand. Regional recoveries are mixed, with the South and Pacific areas showing gains, while the East saw a slight decline; overall, the tracker is projected to approach pre-Covid levels by early 2022.