Summary of Hyundai Development Co (012630) Company Update - 2017.12.6
Core Content
Hyundai Development Co (HDC) has confirmed its plan to transform into a holding company structure, a move that is expected to enhance shareholder value by improving management efficiency, transparency, and decision-making processes. This transformation is set to be carried out through a spin-off of its operating entity, with the general shareholder meeting scheduled for Mar 23, 2018, and the relisting of the holding company expected by Jun 12, 2018.
Main Points
- Structure Transformation: HDC will transition from its current operating structure to a holding company, managing most of its subsidiaries and investing in new businesses. The operating entity will focus on the construction sector.
- Split Ratio: The split ratio is set at 0.42:0.58, based on HDC's financial statements and asset holdings as of Sep 30.
- Shareholder Approval: The transformation requires approval from at least 1/3 of existing shareholders and 2/3 of those with voting rights.
- Trading Suspension: Trading will be suspended from Apr 27 to Jun 11, 2018, and the holding company will be relisted on Jun 12, 2018.
- Shareholder Impact: Shareholders who oppose the transformation will not be granted appraisal rights. Ownership structure will change based on the split and share price movements.
- Valuation and Financials: The current price of HDC is KRW42,600, with a target price of KRW51,000, indicating a potential 19.7% upside. The company's financial performance is expected to improve, with a rise in EPS and net profit over the next few years.
Key Financial Information
| Metric |
2016 |
2017E |
2018E |
2019E |
| Revenue (KRWb) |
4,750 |
5,601 |
6,082 |
6,283 |
| Net Profit (adj) (KRWb) |
331 |
469 |
505 |
553 |
| EPS (adj) (KRW) |
4,069 |
5,767 |
6,206 |
6,799 |
| EBITDA Margin (%) |
11.8 |
12.1 |
11.5 |
11.7 |
| ROE (%) |
12.3 |
15.9 |
15.3 |
14.6 |
| P/E (adj) (x) |
10.5 |
7.4 |
6.9 |
6.3 |
| P/B (x) |
1.2 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
0.8 |
| EV/EBITDA (x) |
5.8 |
3.6 |
2.3 |
1.0 |
| Dividend Yield (%) |
1.6 |
1.6 |
1.6 |
1.6 |
Financial Changes Post-Spinoff
| Metric |
Current (KRWb) |
Holding Company (KRWb) |
Operating Entity (KRWb) |
| Sales |
3,507 |
33 |
3,475 |
| Total Asset |
5,093 |
1,195 |
4,037 |
| Total Liabilities |
2,322 |
39 |
2,283 |
| Total Equity |
2,771 |
1,156 |
1,754 |
| Treasury Holdings |
238 |
238 |
0 |
Ownership Scenario
| Entity |
Current Shares |
Ownership (%) |
Post-Transition Shares |
Ownership (%) |
| Holding Company |
- |
- |
- |
- |
| Jung Mong-kyu, et al. |
13,994,601 |
18.6 |
249 |
35.3 |
| NPS |
7,523,836 |
10.0 |
134 |
7.9 |
| Templeton |
7,440,358 |
9.9 |
132 |
7.8 |
| Blackrock |
3,790,410 |
5.0 |
67 |
4.0 |
| Treasury Shares |
5,300,000 |
7.0 |
94 |
5.6 |
| Existing Shares |
75,384,180 |
100.0 |
1,340 |
100.0 |
Financial Ratios
| Ratio |
2015 |
2016 |
2017E |
2018E |
2019E |
| P/E (adj) (x) |
14.8 |
10.5 |
7.4 |
6.9 |
6.3 |
| P/B (x) |
1.3 |
1.2 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
0.8 |
| EV/EBITDA (x) |
9.0 |
5.8 |
3.6 |
2.3 |
1.0 |
| ROE (%) |
9.6 |
12.3 |
15.9 |
15.3 |
14.6 |
| ROA (%) |
4.2 |
5.9 |
8.0 |
8.0 |
7.9 |
| ROIC (%) |
9.3 |
15.2 |
25.5 |
36.2 |
54.2 |
| Net Debt to Equity |
23.4 |
(4.5) |
(31.0) |
(52.6) |
(67.4) |
Valuation and Performance
- Target Price: KRW51,000 (19.7% upside from current price of KRW42,600).
- One-Year Performance: HDC has shown a 4.7% gain in the first month, -15.0% over six months, and 1.9% over twelve months.
- Comparisons: HDC's performance has lagged behind the Kospi index, which has shown 6.7%, -19.8%, and -20.3% over the same periods.
Strategic Implications
- The transformation is expected to increase the operating company's share price through improved capital efficiency and more shareholder-friendly policies, including potential dividend increases.
- The holding company will be valued using a sum-of-the-parts approach, with an estimated fair value of KRW51,000 per share.
- The restructuring may lead to a more focused and efficient operation, with the operating entity concentrating on construction and the holding company managing other subsidiaries.
Schedule
| Date |
Event |
| Dec 5, 2017 |
Resolution by Board of Directors |
| Mar 23, 2018 |
General Shareholder Meeting |
| Apr 27, 2018 |
Trading Suspension |
| Jun 11, 2018 |
Trading Suspension Ends |
| Jun 12, 2018 |
Relisting of the Holding Company |
Analysts and Contact
- Sokmo Yun: Analyst, Samsung Securities
- Jooki Han: Research Associate, Samsung Securities
Investment Rating
- BUY (82.2%): Expected to increase in value by 10% or more within 12 months and is highly attractive within the sector.
- HOLD (17.8%): Expected to increase/decrease in value by less than 10% within 12 months.
- SELL (0%): Expected to decrease in value by 10% or more within 12 months.
Disclaimer
- This report is for informational purposes only and does not constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities.
- It does not provide individually tailored investment advice.
- Samsung Securities disclaims all responsibility or liability for any loss or damage arising from the use of this report.
- The information provided is "AS IS" and may not be accurate or complete.