2026及未来全球大趋势研究报告_重塑未来_洞悉变革时代塑造全新格局的核心大趋势_78页_4mb

Futures Reimagined: Summary

Core Content

The EY Futures Reimagined report explores how leaders can navigate the rapidly changing global environment, which EY refers to as the NAVI world — a world characterized by nonlinear, accelerated, volatile, and interconnected change. The report outlines a framework for understanding and responding to these changes, emphasizing the need for scenario-based thinking and future-back planning.

Main Viewpoints

• The NAVI world is defined by the rapid evolution of technology, geopolitical shifts, climate change, and demographic changes. These forces create an environment where traditional business models and practices are no longer sufficient.
• Leaders must reimagine the future by preparing for multiple potential outcomes, not just one. This involves rethinking strategy, business models, operating models, talent, risk, and transformation.
• The EY Futures Reimagined framework identifies eight megatrends that are shaping the future. These trends are derived from the intersection of primary forces: technology, demographics, sustainability, and geopolitics.
• Superfluid enterprise, the human-machine hybrid, and the productivity reset are among the key megatrends. These reflect the transformation of how organizations operate, how humans and machines collaborate, and how value is measured in a new era.
• Trust is becoming a critical asset in the economy, and capitalism is evolving to emphasize diversification, resilience, and long-term value creation.

Key Information

The Eight Megatrends

1. Superfluid enterprise – Organizations that eliminate operational friction through agentic AI, smart contracts, and digital twins.
2. The human-machine hybrid – A future where humans and machines collaborate to enhance creativity, judgment, and innovation.
3. The productivity reset – Redefining productivity metrics beyond traditional measures.
4. Talent rewritten – The evolving relationship between human and AI capabilities in the workforce.
5. Migration infrastructure – The need for new systems to manage global labor movements.
6. Global resource rush – Intensified competition for resources at the edges of the Earth.
7. The currency of trust – Trust as a scarce and critical resource in the new economy.
8. Capitalism rebalanced – A shift toward more sustainable and resilient economic systems.

The NAVI World Characteristics

• Nonlinear: Change occurs in bursts and tipping points.
• Accelerated: The pace of technological and environmental change is increasing rapidly.
• Volatile: Markets, politics, and natural systems are subject to unpredictable shocks.
• Interconnected: Disruptions in one area can have cascading effects across multiple domains.

Economic Impact

• Employee disengagement costs the global economy US$8.8 trillion annually.
• Internal friction costs companies US$15,000 per employee annually.
• Data silos result in 20–30% revenue loss.
• AI automation and smart contracts can deliver 2–3 times ROI and 50–70% cycle time reduction.

Building Blocks of the Superfluid Enterprise

1. Agentic AI – Coordinates complex processes autonomously.
2. Smart contracts – Automate agreements with transparency and consistency.
3. Digital twins – Enable real-time monitoring and decision-making with high predictive accuracy.

The Three Horizons of Transformation

New Sources of Competitive Advantage

• Speed of adaptation: Organizations that can reconfigure quickly.
• Network orchestration: Becoming central nodes in valuable ecosystems.
• Purpose-driven innovation: Building loyalty and differentiation through ethical and inspiring missions.

Actions for Leaders

1. Lay the technology foundation – Invest in AI-ready systems and platforms.
2. Establish evolving governance – Create hybrid governance models that balance human oversight and AI decision-making.
3. Build key workforce capabilities – Focus on context engineering, strategic thinking, and story-driven innovation.
4. Rethink ecosystem strategy – Use smart contracts and coordination to reduce friction and enhance collaboration.
5. Redesign organizational structure – Move from hierarchical models to networked and flatter structures.

Conclusion

The report emphasizes that the future is not a single path but a set of possible, plausible, and probable scenarios. Leaders must reimagine their organizations and rethink their approaches to strategy, operations, and human-machine collaboration. The goal is not just to adapt to change, but to lead with purpose, trust, and innovation in a world that rewards agility and foresight.