20231020-招银国际-Fixed_Income_Daily_Market_Update_5页_863kb
报告摘要
Fixed Income Credit Commentary Summary
Market Dynamics
- Yields and Trading: Overnight UST 10-year yield widened 8 basis points to 491%. Key trades included MUFG pricing a USD 750 million AT1 bond at 8.2% yield, and ICBCAS pricing multiple bonds. In Asia, Chinese SOEs/TMT benchmarks saw HAOHUA and BIDU widen by 1-3 basis points, while high-beta TMTs sold better. Chinese property names declined amid higher rates, with DALWAN down 1-2 points.
- Primary Market: New issues included ICBC's 2026 bond and Medco Energi's USD 500 million 5.5% NC2 bond. Weakness was seen in some Shandong LGFVs, but trading remained active.
- Secondary Trading: Asian IG markets turned softer, with mixed performances in industrials and gaming names. Hong Kong corporates saw subdued trading, while Indian and Indonesian bonds showed slight declines.
Key News and Events
- HRINTH Repurchases: HRINTH announced a further offshore bond repurchase of USD 20.112 million, focusing on longer-dated bonds. This supports recommendations for Chinese AMC sector with better risk-return profiles.
- Bond Pipeline: Offshore Asia new issues pipeline includes Jinan Hi-Tech Holding and Fujian Zhanglong Group plans.
- China Debt Market: September home prices in 70 major cities showed declines in most cities, with Beijing and Shanghai increases. PBOC kept LPR unchanged.
- Corporate Actions: COGARD reported on potential Wilton Greens sale, DALWAN resold bonds, and MOLAND sold residential project.
Analyst Commentary
- HRINTH Recommendations: Analyst views HRINTH as top pick amid further repurchases; recommends HRINTH 37505/29/24, HRINTH 5501/16/25, and GRWALL 395Perp. Commentary notes global Asia ex-AU/NZ/Japan had USD 74 billion in tender offers and repurchases.
- Market Outlook: Analysts suggest buying HRINTH based on repurchase expectations, but Chinese properties and high-yield names underperformed due to higher rates and economic concerns.
Top Movers
- Top Performers: BSDEIJ, CPDEV (up 1-2 points).
- Top Underperformers: LNGFOR, PINGRE, ZJSOAM (down 3-16 points).
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