CCS_Insight：2022年及以后的预测_73页_2mb

2022 & Beyond: CCS Insight Predictions Summary

Core Content

CCS Insight's 2022 & Beyond Predictions event highlights key trends and insights in the technology industry, focusing on connectivity, sustainability, and the evolution of consumer and enterprise technologies. The event is led by Geoff Blaber, CEO of CCS Insight, who emphasizes the need for rapid, high-value analysis in an era of rapid technological change and complex industry dynamics.

Main Predictions and Key Themes

1. Network Evolution and 5G Expansion

• 5G as a transformative force: 5G is evolving into a true, standalone network that supports more flexible and modular architectures like cloud-based RANs and virtualized core networks.
• Infrastructure shift: The telecom industry is moving from hardware-centric to software-driven and cloud-centric networks, driven by technologies like multi-access edge computing, automation, and AI.
• Geographic coverage: By 2028, BT aims to achieve 90% geographic 5G coverage in the UK, surpassing its 4G network. This expansion is supported by 700 MHz spectrum and is expected to meet a 40% annual increase in mobile capacity demand.
• Fibre-to-the-premises growth: BT's Openreach is accelerating its target to connect 25 million premises by 2026, with 3.5 million in urban areas and 1.5 million in rural regions. This reflects broader momentum in the UK's fibre rollout.
• Open RAN and collaboration: The shift toward Open RAN is creating opportunities for a more diverse ecosystem of technology providers. Partnerships with hyperscale cloud providers (e.g., AT&T with Microsoft Azure) are becoming more common.

2. Sustainability in Technology

• Tech for good: Companies like IBM are increasingly integrating sustainability into their core strategies, using software and cloud technologies to optimize resource usage and reduce environmental impact.
• Energy efficiency and renewable resources: IBM has committed to using renewable energy and is helping customers understand and minimize the environmental impact of their cloud usage.
• Quantum computing for sustainability: IBM is leveraging quantum computing to solve complex problems like emissions reduction, which is critical for addressing climate change.

3. Smart Home Technology Adoption

• Two planes of adoption: Smart home technology is expected to develop in two distinct phases:
  • Short-term: Point solutions such as smart doorbells and robot vacuums will see strong adoption through 2024.
  • Long-term: Fully integrated and connected homes will emerge over the next decade, with products from multiple manufacturers communicating seamlessly.
• Connectivity standards: The adoption of standards like Matter will play a crucial role in enabling interoperability and seamless communication between smart home devices.

4. Emerging Technologies and Market Opportunities

• Low Earth orbit (LEO) satellite broadband: Companies like OneWeb, SpaceX, and Kuiper Systems are driving a renaissance in satellite broadband, which can provide connectivity in remote areas.
• Portable and flexible connectivity: BT is exploring new ways to offer "on demand" 5G through drones and high-altitude platforms, along with portable cells for temporary mobile connections.

5. Future of Work and Collaboration

• Asynchronous collaboration tools: Due to the rise of remote and hybrid work, there is growing demand for asynchronous collaboration tools that allow flexible working patterns.
• Employee privacy concerns: Monitoring tools that track employee activity and well-being are facing backlash, leading to legal challenges and a need for more ethical and transparent practices.

Key Insights

• Data-driven decision-making: Tech leaders require fast, actionable insights to navigate the rapidly evolving market landscape.
• Collaboration and partnerships: The industry is seeing increased collaboration between telecom operators, cloud providers, and technology innovators to build more resilient and efficient networks.
• Sustainability as a priority: Companies are recognizing their role in promoting sustainable practices, leveraging technology to reduce environmental impact and enhance social responsibility.
• Software-defined infrastructure: The future of telecom networks lies in software-defined and virtualized systems, with a focus on agility, scalability, and intelligence.
• Consumer behavior shifts: The pandemic has changed how people use smart home technology, with increased reliance on virtual interaction and home monitoring.

Conclusion

The predictions underscore a dynamic and rapidly evolving technology landscape, where 5G, smart home devices, and sustainable practices are shaping the future. As the industry moves toward more software-driven, interconnected, and environmentally conscious solutions, companies must remain agile and focused on delivering value through innovation and collaboration.