2024-10-27-牛津经济研究院-壳牌在荷兰的社会经济影响（英）_39页_1mb

Summary of SHELL'S Socioeconomic Impact in the Netherlands (October 2024)

Core Content

This report provides an in-depth analysis of Shell's socioeconomic contributions to the Netherlands in 2022, including its economic and social impacts across various channels. The study uses a comprehensive framework that includes direct, indirect, and induced impacts, quantifying them in terms of GDP contributions, job creation, and tax payments.

Main Points

1. Economic Impact

Shell's total economic impact in the Netherlands in 2022 was substantial, with the following key figures:

• Total Gross Value Added (GVA) Contribution: €10.5 billion
• Jobs Supported: 53,000
• Tax Payments to the Government: €5.8 billion

Shell's direct operations contributed €5.8 billion to the Dutch GDP, equivalent to 0.6% of the country's total GDP that year. This includes:

• Direct GVA: €5.8 billion
• Direct Employment: 8,421 people
• Direct Tax Payments: €4.2 billion

Shell's refuelling stations also employed 3,900 people.

2. Indirect Impact

Shell's indirect impact, stemming from its supply chain activities, was estimated to be:

• Indirect GVA Contribution: €3.2 billion
• Indirect Jobs Supported: 30,000
• Indirect Tax Payments: €1.2 billion

Shell spent €3.5 billion with third-party suppliers in 2022, supporting over 2,300 businesses across various sectors, including business services, IT, and utilities.

3. Induced Impact

The induced impact, from employee spending on wages, was:

• Induced GVA Contribution: €1.4 billion
• Induced Jobs Supported: 15,000
• Induced Tax Payments: €0.4 billion

Shell paid €1.5 billion in wages and salaries to its employees in the Netherlands, with a portion of this income being spent on consumer goods and services.

4. Regional Impact

Shell's impact was most pronounced in South Holland, which accounted for the majority of its contributions:

• Total GVA in South Holland: €5.7 billion
• Total Jobs in South Holland: 30,000
• GVA in Rijnmond: €3.8 billion
• GVA in Haaglanden: €1.6 billion
• GVA in Groningen: €1.7 billion
• GVA in North Holland: €1.5 billion
• GVA in North Brabant: €0.6 billion

5. Social Impact

Shell made notable contributions to the social fabric of the Netherlands, particularly in terms of employment diversity and support for underrepresented groups:

• Jobs for Under 25s: 6,900
• Jobs for Over 60s: 5,500
• Jobs for Women: 21,000
  • Direct Jobs for Women: 2,021
  • Women's Share in Shell Workforce: 24% (vs. 12.5% in the mining and quarrying sector)

Shell also supported well-paid jobs, with 26,000 jobs in sectors where average salaries exceeded the national average and 15,000 in high-paid sectors (€60,000+).

6. R&D Impact

Shell's R&D investment in 2022 was €338 million, with a significant focus on the energy transition. The long-term productivity benefit of this investment is estimated to be:

• Annual Long-Run Productivity Benefit from 2030: €151 million
  • Direct Energy Sector Benefit: €98 million
  • Spillover to Other Sectors: €54 million

For every €1 million spent on R&D, the Dutch economy is projected to gain an additional €0.4 million in GDP by 2030.

7. Energy Security Contribution

Shell plays a vital role in the Netherlands' energy security, particularly through:

• NAM's Gas Storage: Averaging 69% of the country's total gas storage between 2011 and 2024
• Natural Gas Production: 25% of domestic production in 2022
• Renewables Investment: Increased Shell's renewables capacity as a share of total Dutch electricity consumption from 3% to 9% between 2022 and 2024
  • Projects: Hollandse Kust Noord wind farm, Holland Hydrogen 1 plant

8. Methodology

The study uses the Global Sustainability Model, an Input-Output model covering 185 countries, to assess the full scope of Shell's economic and social impact. It combines internal Shell data with national statistics to provide a comprehensive view of its contributions across all three channels.

Key Information

• Total GVA Contribution: €10.5 billion
• Total Jobs Supported: 53,000
• Total Tax Payments: €5.8 billion
• GDP Multiplier: 1.8
• Jobs Multiplier: 6.3
• R&D Investment: €338 million
• Long-Run Productivity Benefit from R&D: €151 million annually from 2030
• Renewables Capacity Increase: From 3% to 9% of total Dutch electricity consumption
• Geographic Focus: South Holland (most significant), followed by North Holland, Groningen, and North Brabant

Conclusion

Shell's presence in the Netherlands is not only economically significant but also socially impactful, supporting diverse employment opportunities and contributing to energy security and sustainability efforts. Its activities across all three channels—direct, indirect, and induced—underscore its role as a major player in the Dutch economy.