20150917-兴业证券-A-Share_Daily_Express_12页_1mb
报告摘要
Summary of Industrial Securities Co., Ltd. Document
Core Content Overview
This document provides a comprehensive market analysis and investment insights for the Chinese stock market, with a particular focus on the ongoing reform of state-owned enterprises (SOEs) and its implications for the A-share market. It includes market indices, sector performance, company news, research reports, and investment recommendations.
Market Indices and Performance
The following indices show significant gains on the day:
- SSE Composite: Closed at 3152.26, up 4.89%
- SZSE Component: Closed at 9890.43, up 6.45%
- ChiNext Index: Closed at 1926.25, up 7.16%
- HSI: Closed at 21966.66, up 2.38%
- HSCEI: Closed at 9904.71, up 2.07%
The total market volume was CNY 566.78 billion (USD 89.97 billion). The market was highly positive, with 2295 tickers rising and only 29 tickers decreasing, indicating a strong bullish sentiment.
Sector Review Highlights
All sectors performed well, with notable gains in:
- Computer: Qiming Information Technology (002232) and Shenzhen Division Video Communications (300167) both surged over 10%.
- Retail: Changsha Tongcheng Holdings (000419) and Hunan Friendship&Apollo Commercial (002277) led the sector with over 10% increases.
- Electrical Equipment: Northeast Electric Development (000585) and Guodian Nanjing Automation (600268) saw gains of over 10%.
- Overall Sector Performance: Most sectors showed strong upward momentum, with the ChiNext index leading the rise.
Daily Headlines
- Insider Trading Probe: The president of Citic Securities is under investigation for insider trading, following reports of 4 executives admitting to similar activities.
- MSCI Inclusion Expectations: CEO Henry Fernandez suggested the A-share market may be included in MSCI benchmarks sooner than expected.
- SOE Reform: The Chinese government has announced a new phase in SOE reform, emphasizing the role of SOEs in the "China Dream" of national rejuvenation.
- Bond Default Risk: China National Erzhong Group may miss an interest payment, raising concerns about the second state-owned bond default in the onshore market.
- Infrastructure Projects: China has approved feasibility reports for six road projects, totaling CNY 16.2 billion in investment.
SOE Reform Series Report: 'China Dream' of SOEs
Key Points
- SOE Mission: SOEs are tasked with achieving the "China Dream" through enhanced vitality, control, influence, and risk management.
- Reform Acceleration: With the introduction of the top-layer design, SOE reform is expected to accelerate, shifting investor focus from expectations to implementation.
- Asset Securitization: The reform aims to improve the modern enterprise system and optimize the allocation of state-owned assets.
- Capital Market Role: The capital market will play a crucial role in facilitating SOE reforms, particularly through M&A and asset injections.
- Investment Strategy: Investors are advised to buy promising SOE-related stocks in advance and wait for reform implementation catalysts.
Key Sectors for Reform
- Construction Material: Wuhu Conch Profiles and Science (000619.SZ), Anhui Conch Cement (600585.SH), BBMG Corp (601992.SH), etc.
- Food & Beverage: Wuliangye Yibin (000858), Jiugui Liquor (000799)
- Construction: Shandong Hi-Speed Road & Bridge (000799), Shanghai Tunnel Engineering (600834), Shanghai Construction Group (600170)
- Pharmaceuticals: Shanghai Shyndec Pharmaceutical (600420), Zhangzhou Pientzehuang Pharmaceutical (600436)
- Telecom and Media: NARI Technology (600406), Beijing Gehua CATV Network (600037), Shaanxi Broadcast & TV Network Intermediary (600831)
- Chemical Engineering: Chongqing Water Group (600195), Yunnan Yuntianhua (600096), Sinochem International Corp (600500)
Investment Recommendations
China Merchants Property Development (000024: SZ)
- Performance: Slight slowdown in August sales (232,900 sqm, down 4.74% YoY), but overall sales for Jan-August increased by 25.22%.
- Sales Value: CNY 4.04 billion in August, up 2.20% YoY; total sales value for Jan-August was CNY 28.3 billion, up 18.7% YoY.
- Land Investment: The company is conservative in land purchase, with 60% of August sales revenue allocated to land. This is lower than 2014 levels (67%).
- Fundamentals: Strong fundamentals and support from China Merchants Group suggest continued growth potential.
- EPS Forecast: CNY 1.73 in 2015, CNY 2.48 in 2016, CNY 2.57 in 2017.
- Valuation: 18.5x 15E PE, 12.9x 16E PE, 12.4x 17E PE.
- Recommendation: Reiterate BUY.
Key Risks
- Sales Recovery: Potential slower-than-expected sales recovery could impact short-term performance.
Analysts and Translators
- Analysts: Zhang Yidong, Wu Feng, Li Yanlin, Weng Tian, Zhou Lin, Zhang Qiyao
- Translators: Pan Mengchen, Li Xing
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