20150507-杰富瑞-Today_At_A_Glance_11页_317kb
报告摘要
Asia Research Summary
Core Content Overview
This document provides a summary of stock analysis and market insights from Jefferies for various companies across Asia and globally, focusing on key financial metrics, ratings, and future outlooks. The analysis includes price targets, earnings forecasts, and strategic considerations.
Main Points and Key Information
Company Ratings and Price Targets
| Company | Rating | Price Target | Key Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cathay Holdings | A | TWD58.50–64.00 | Strong investment performance; raised PT to TWD64.00 |
| CIMB Group Holdings | B | MYR7.20–7.05 | Potential turnaround; market ignores progress in domestic and Singapore divisions |
| Commonwealth Bank of Australia | Neutral | AUD83.10–82.38 | Earnings growth is being depressed by margin decline and macroeconomic factors |
| Greentown China Holdings | H | HK$7.30–9.00 | NAV and earnings may be impacted by JV projects, but land bank quality may deteriorate |
| Hengan | H | HK$82.20–94.90 | Improved fundamentals and SCA synergies; raised PT to HK$94.90 |
| Net One Systems | H | ¥780–900 | Earnings are positive, but real test is FY3/16 performance |
| Sunac China Holdings Ltd | H | HK$6.80–9.10 | High beta play; performance is capped by rising gearing and land acquisition issues |
| Vinda | H | HK$12.40–17.00 | Fundamentals are expected to improve; raised PT to HK$17.00 |
| ABB Limited | B | INR1,700 | Operating leverage benefits expected to kick in; maintain Buy |
| Fraser & Neave | H | MYR15.40 | Soft drink segment underperformed, but Dairies division offset losses |
| Unisem (M) Berhad | B | MYR3.00 | Improved margins due to wafer level packaging; maintain Buy |
| MISC | B | MYR9.80 | Recovery in petroleum tanker market is expected; maintain Buy |
| Malaysia Airports | S | MYR5.20 | Disappointing performance; lofty valuations justify Sell |
| KLCC Property | B | MYR6.90 | Normalized earnings declined; valuations are reasonable |
| Innolux | R | TWD13.00 | Facing fierce competition; negative outlook for 2016 |
| Cathay Financial Holding Co Ltd | Add | TWD64.00 | Strong capital gains; revised PT up to TWD64.00 |
Key Takeaways by Sector
Global Asset Allocation
- The fixed income market experienced a significant shift in late 2014 and early 2015 due to a convergence of factors, which is unlikely to be repeated in the near future.
- The "Reach for Yield" strategy may have overextended itself, leading to volatility in the market.
Shipping
- Consolidation in container shipping is on the rise, with potential mergers between Chinese shipping companies.
- A merger could lead to a decline in profit due to increased SG&A costs and lower international rates.
China Consumer
- Hengan and Vinda are expected to benefit from favorable raw material prices and product mix upgrades, leading to GP margin expansion.
- Vinda's fundamentals are expected to improve with better growth and SCA synergies.
- Price targets for both companies have been raised.
Auto and Auto Parts
- Samchuly Bicycle is maintaining a Buy rating due to increased sales of high-end bicycles and steady growth in baby products.
- Korean automakers are showing signs of recovery, with KMC being the preferred choice.
Real Estate and Property
- KLCC Property's normalized earnings declined due to hotel performance, but valuations are seen as reasonable.
- Malaysia Airports is facing challenges in domestic passenger numbers and has a Sell rating due to overvaluation.
Technology and Electronics
- Innolux is experiencing a decline in earnings due to fierce competition and increasing supply.
- The company's outlook is bearish for 2016 with potential losses due to ASP drops.
Events and Conferences
Jefferies is organizing several events and conferences for 2015, including:
- Jefferies 2015 Media IR Day – May 8, 2015, New York
- Jefferies 2015 Hoare Govett UK Companies Summit – May 12, 2015, London
- Jefferies 2015 TMT Conference – May 12–14, 2015, Miami
- Jefferies Restaurant Industry Expert Summit – May 18–19, 2015, Chicago
- Jefferies 2015 Boston Energy Symposium – May 27–28, 2015, Boston
- Jefferies 2015 Healthcare Conference – June 1–4, 2015, New York
- Jefferies Israel Tech Trek – June 8–9, 2015, Tel Aviv
- Jefferies Malaysia Corporate Access Days 2015 – June 9–10, 2015, Singapore
- Jefferies 2015 Specialty Finance Summit – June 18, 2015, London
- Jefferies 2015 Consumer Conference – June 23–24, 2015, Nantucket
Important Disclosures
- Analysts are compensated based on the firm's overall performance, including investment banking income.
- Research updates may be limited due to regulatory constraints.
- Ratings and price targets are based on the analyst's judgment and may be suspended or not applicable for certain stocks.
Meanings of Jefferies Ratings
- Buy: Expected total return of 15% or more within 12 months.
- Hold: Expected total return of ±15% within 12 months.
- Underperform: Expected total return of -10% or more within 12 months.
- NR: Rating and price target temporarily suspended.
- CS: Coverage suspended.
- NC: Not covered.
- Restricted: Certain communications are prohibited.
- Monitor: No financial projections or investment opinions are provided.
This summary captures the key insights and analysis provided by Jefferies across various sectors and companies in Asia and globally.
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