20160531-IEA-Partner_Country_Series_-_Clean_Energy_Technology_Assessment_Methodology_Pilot_Study_Belarus_79页_3mb

Belarus Clean Energy Technology Assessment Metho dology Pilot Study Summary

Country Overview:
Belarus is a landlocked country heavily dependent on natural gas imports for its energy needs, with a significant share of its population living in urban areas. The economy has experienced steady growth since the 1990s, but energy infrastructure remains largely outdated, creating large potential for energy efficiency improvements.

Renewable Energy Technologies (RETs):

• Potential: Belarus has substantial potential for bioenergy (biomass, biogas), wind, and solar power. Biomass is the largest resource, followed by wind and solar.
• Challenges: Deployment has been limited by abundant cheap gas imports, limited grid integration capacity, and restrictive government FIT quotas. The government also prioritizes nuclear power development.
• Methodology: The pilot study prioritized RETs using resource potential, strategic drivers, market opportunities, technology maturity, and cost analysis.
• Assessment: Assessed indicators (production, capacity, heat consumption), costs (based on capital costs and domestic financing), and proposed monitoring via project tracking and national policy indicators.

Energy Efficiency Technologies (EETs):

• Potential: Energy intensity is decreasing, but substantial savings remain, especially in the residential sector due to inefficient infrastructure. Potential technologies include TRVs, HCAs, efficient boilers, insulation, LED lighting, heat pumps, and smart controls.
• Methodology: Prioritized EETs for the residential, industrial, and transport sectors based on applicability, savings potential, diffusion rate, and maturity.
• Assessment: Recommended monitoring through specific key performance indicators (KPIs) and market penetration metrics.

Key Conclusions:

• Belarus has strong resource potential for both RETs and EETs.
• Financial constraints (financing costs, availability) and limited public awareness are significant barriers for renewable deployment.
• The enabling environment (FITs, grid access, policy framework) needs improvement to unlock potential.
• Data collection quality is high but requires further refinement and monitoring.

Recommendations:
Periodically update the shortlist of priority technologies and establish monitoring systems for market penetration and energy savings to improve policy formulation and investment targeting.