20150723-兴业证券-A-Share_Daily_Express_13页_751kb
报告摘要
Summary of Industrial Securities Co., Ltd. Report
Core Content
Industrial Securities Co., Ltd. provides a comprehensive analysis of the Chinese stock market and specific company insights, particularly focusing on the performance of key indices and the financial health of two listed companies: Jiangsu Shanghai Composite Materials (300196: SZ) and Zhejiang Hailide New Material (002206: SZ). The report highlights the overall market sentiment, sectoral performance, and future outlook for the Internet finance industry, alongside detailed financial data and investment recommendations.
Market Overview
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Indices Performance:
- SSE Composite Index: Closed at 4123.92, up 2.43%.
- SZSE Component Index: Closed at 13754.53, up 2.52%.
- CSI 300 Index: Closed at 4250.81, up 2.25%.
- ChiNext Index: Closed at 2967.95, up 2.44%.
- HSI: Closed at 25398.85, up 0.46%.
- HSCEI: Closed at 11734.27, up 0.85%.
- Total Market Turnover: CNY 1396.6 billion, up 8.9%.
- Market Sentiment: Positive, with more than 300 stocks hitting the upper limit and only 52 declining.
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Market Recovery: The market continues to recover from a downturn that began in June, supported by positive news and regulatory clarity.
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Sectoral Performance:
- Shipping & Airline: Strong performers, with China COSCO Holdings (601919) up 10.00% and China Southern Airlines (600029) up 8.11%.
- Textile & Clothing: Jihua Group (601718) up 10.00%.
- Media: Shanghai Oriental Pearl Media (600637) capped at daily limit.
- Building Materials: China Jushi (600176) up 3.69%.
- Non-ferrous Metals: Aluminum Corporation of China (601600) up 4.44%.
- Real Estate: Shanghai Jinfeng (600606) and China Vanke (000002) up 4.21% and 3.13%, respectively.
- Banks: Generally lagged, with Bank of China (601988) rising only 0.40%.
Internet Finance Industry Insights
- Guidelines Released: The People's Bank of China, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, and seven other government authorities jointly issued guidelines to promote sustainable development of the Internet finance industry.
- Key Objectives:
- Encourage financial innovations.
- Facilitate development of Internet finance business.
- Clarify regulatory responsibilities.
- Regulate market order.
- Impact on Industry:
- The guidelines are seen as a positive step and meet market expectations.
- The industry will see more disciplined growth, with regulatory support expected to benefit industry leaders.
- Recommended Companies:
- East Money Information (300059: SZ)
- Hithink RoyalFlush Information Network (300033: SZ)
- Hundsun Technologies (600570: SH)
- Shenzhen Kingdom Technology (600446: SH)
- Aisino Corporation (600271: SH)
- Shanghai 2345 Network Holding Group (002195: SZ)
Company Analysis: Jiangsu Shanghai Composite Materials (300196: SZ)
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Company Profile:
- Develops, produces, and sells glass fiber products and composites.
- Main products: Chopped strand mats, wet mats, and composite separators.
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Earnings and Growth:
- Interim Earnings Estimate: Net profit between CNY 88 million and CNY 102 million, up 39.04% to 61.16% YoY.
- EPS Forecast: CNY 1.08 in 2015, CNY 1.40 in 2016, CNY 1.82 in 2017.
- Valuation: Implies 33×15E PE, 25×16E PE, and 19×17E PE.
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Key Financial Indicators:
- Revenue Growth: Expected to grow by 59.0% in 2015, 23.4% in 2016, and 24.1% in 2017.
- Net Profit Growth: 40.6% in 2015, 30.2% in 2016, and 30.2% in 2017.
- ROE: Expected to rise from 13.4% in 2014 to 18.7% in 2017.
- Gross Margin: Expected to increase from 27.0% to 28.0%.
- Net Profit Margin: Expected to increase from 13.2% to 12.9%.
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Investment Recommendations:
- Rating: Maintained as BUY.
- Reasons: Glass fiber industry rebound, increased marketing efforts for new products, and synergy from the acquisition of Tianma Group.
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Potential Risks:
- Weaker-than-expected rebound in the glass fiber market.
- Failure to achieve expected results from new product marketing.
Company Analysis: Zhejiang Hailide New Material (002206: SZ)
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Company Profile:
- Manufactures and sells industrial polyester yarns, plastic materials, and tire cord fabrics.
- Products include polyester filament yarns, PET chips, and a variety of plastic and textile materials.
- Exports to over 80 countries and regions.
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Earnings and Growth:
- Revenue: CNY 228.6 billion in 2014.
- Net Profit: CNY 144 million in 2014.
- EPS Forecast: CNY 0.54 in 2015, CNY 0.71 in 2016, CNY 0.94 in 2017.
- Valuation: Implies 19.4×15E PE, 14.8×16E PE, and 11.2×17E PE.
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Key Financial Indicators:
- Revenue Growth: 15.8% in 2015, 21.8% in 2016, and 25.3% in 2017.
- Net Profit Growth: 69.3% in 2015, 31.5% in 2016, and 31.4% in 2017.
- Gross Margin: Increased from 19.9% to 22.0%.
- Net Profit Margin: Increased from 6.3% to 10.4%.
- ROE: Expected to rise from 7.0% in 2014 to 15.4% in 2017.
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Investment Recommendations:
- Rating: Revised up to BUY.
- Reasons: Improved product mix, rising profit margins, and strong growth in auto-related products.
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Product Strategy:
- Restructured product mix to focus on high-margin polyester filament and new plastic products.
- Successfully expanded into auto-related products, such as airbag and seat belt yarns, which are superior to Japanese and Korean alternatives.
Key Financial Data (Jiangsu Shanghai Composite Materials)
| Metric | 2014 | 2015E | 2016E | 2017E |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Closing Price (CNY) | 35.41 | - | - | - |
| Total Shares (Mn) | 192.00 | - | - | - |
| Shares Outstanding (Mn) | 109.93 | - | - | - |
| Market Cap (CNY/Mn) | 6798.72 | - | - | - |
| Market Float (CNY/Mn) | 3892.74 | - | - | - |
| Net Assets (CNY/Mn) | 1118.06 | - | - | - |
| Total Assets (CNY/Mn) | 1612.85 | - | - | - |
| BVPS (CNY) | 5.82 | - | - | - |
Key Financial Data (Zhejiang Hailide New Material)
| Metric | 2014 | 2015E | 2016E | 2017E |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Closing Price (CNY) | 10.54 | - | - | - |
| Total Shares (Mn) | 449.77 | - | - | - |
| Shares Outstanding (Mn) | 342.89 | - | - | - |
| Market Cap (CNY/Mn) | 4740.58 | - | - | - |
| Market Float (CNY/Mn) | 3614.06 | - | - | - |
| Net Assets (CNY/Mn) | 1968.31 | - | - | - |
| Total Assets (CNY/Mn) | 3583.96 | - | - | - |
| BVPS (CNY) | 4.38 | - | - | - |
Revenue Breakdown (Zhejiang Hailide New Material)
| Product Category | Revenue (CNY) | % of Total |
|---|---|---|
| Polyester Filament | 142,695.66 | 63.50% |
| Lamp-box Fabric | 46,455.65 | 20.67% |
| Tyre Fabrics | 17,792.57 | 7.92% |
| PVC Film | 15,937.80 | 7.10% |
| PET Chip | 1,771.48 | 0.79% |
| Others | 57.40 | 0.02% |
Analysts and Contact Information
- YUAN Yuming: yuanyuming@xyzq.com.cn, S0190515040001
- JIANG Jialin: jiangjialin@xyzq.com.cn, S0190515050002
- YANG Mo: yangmo@xyzq.com.cn
- QIAN Lufeng: qianlf@xyzq.com.cn
- MA Sijie: -
- PAN Mengchen: panmengchen@xyzq.com.cn
- LI Xing: lixingyj@xyzq.com.cn
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