2018-美国太_空_军_需要花费多少钱(英文版)-2mb
报告摘要
Summary of "How Much Will the Space Force Cost?"
Core Content
This document provides an analysis of the potential costs and structure of a new U.S. military service for space, known as the Space Force, considering three different organizational models: Space Corps, Space Force-Lite, and Space Force-Heavy. The analysis is based on the FY 2019 budget and personnel data, and it outlines the estimated budget ranges and workforce sizes for each option.
Main Points
- The creation of the Space Force is expected to be a significant policy decision, with budget and personnel implications for the Department of Defense (DoD).
- The total annual budget for the new service would range from $11.3 billion to $21.5 billion, depending on the organizational scope.
- The majority of the budget (over 96%) would be transferred from existing DoD accounts, with only a small portion of new funding required.
- The new funding needed annually ranges from $0.30 billion to $0.55 billion, with an additional $1.5 to $2.7 billion over five years.
- The analysis does not include the space capabilities of intelligence agencies, such as the National Reconnaissance Office (NRO), due to limited public data.
Key Information
Budget Breakdown by Option
| Option | Total Annual Budget (FY 2019 dollars) | New Funding (FY 2019) | Total Funding Over 5 Years |
|---|---|---|---|
| Space Corps | $11.3 billion | $0.30 billion | $1.5 to $2.7 billion |
| Space Force-Lite | $13.4 billion | $0.40 billion | $1.5 to $2.7 billion |
| Space Force-Heavy | $21.5 billion | $0.50 billion | $1.5 to $2.7 billion |
Workforce Estimates
| Option | Total Workforce (FY 2019) |
|---|---|
| Space Corps | 27,300 |
| Space Force-Lite | 35,800 |
| Space Force-Heavy | 48,500 |
The workforce would consist of active duty, guard and reserve, and civilian personnel. The Space Force-Heavy option would have the largest workforce and budget.
Personnel Composition
- Space Corps: 12,100 active duty, 1,600 guard and reserve, 11,900 civilian, and 1,700 headquarters staff.
- Space Force-Lite: 16,700 active duty, 1,900 guard and reserve, 14,600 civilian, and 2,600 headquarters staff.
- Space Force-Heavy: 18,300 active duty, 2,800 guard and reserve, 24,300 civilian, and 3,100 headquarters staff.
The Air Force would lose the most personnel and budget under all three options, with the Space Corps option resulting in the largest loss.
Cost Components
- Military Personnel: Costs vary depending on the service and rank.
- Civilian Personnel: Estimated at $109,600 per person.
- Headquarters Staff: Estimated at $175,000 per person.
- MILCON (Military Construction): Estimated as 1/67th of the total Plant Replacement Value (PRV) for the bases involved.
- RDT&E (Research, Development, Test, & Evaluation): Includes funding for various space-related programs and systems.
Comparison to Other Military Services
| Service | Discretionary Budget Authority (FY 2019) | Total Workforce (FY 2019) | Civilian Percentage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Army | $182.1 billion | 1,225,303 | 16% |
| Navy | $164.9 billion | 585,142 | 30% |
| Marine Corps | $29.2 billion | 246,153 | 30% |
| Air Force | $156.3 billion | 681,971 | 35% |
| Coast Guard | $11.7 billion | 50,141 | 17% |
| Space Corps | $11.3 billion | 27,300 | 50% |
| Space Force-Lite | $13.4 billion | 35,800 | 50% |
| Space Force-Heavy | $21.5 billion | 48,500 | 50% |
The Space Force-Heavy option would be similar in size to the Coast Guard but with a budget nearly double. The Space Corps would have a workforce roughly half that of the Coast Guard but a similar budget.
Civilian Workforce
Under all three options, more than 50% of the full-time workforce would be civilians, significantly higher than the civilian percentages of other services.
Methodology and Assumptions
- The analysis is based on publicly available data and includes assumptions about the transfer of personnel and funding.
- It does not account for the Defense Information Systems Agency (DISA) or intelligence agencies due to lack of public data.
- The cost of MILCON is based on the Plant Replacement Value (PRV) and an expected life of 67 years.
- The RDT&E funding is based on the FY 2019 budget request and varies annually depending on program status.
Conclusion
The creation of a Space Force would be a significant reorganization with varying costs and workforce sizes depending on the scope of the service. The Space Force-Heavy option would have the largest budget and workforce, while the Space Corps would be the most limited. The Air Force would bear the largest loss in terms of both personnel and budget, and the new service would not increase the overall defense budget but would shift resources from existing services.
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