20240306-冠通期货-早盘速递_3页_1mb

报告摘要

Set growth targets: GDP increase of about 5%, urban new jobs over 1.2 million, CPI inflation around 3%, and income growth in sync with economy.
Policies: Focus on stabilizing market expectations, avoiding contractionary measures; continue positive fiscal and steady monetary stances, with budget deficits and bond issuances planned.
Key points: Emphasize macro coordination, including financial and non-financial policies, and support for real estate through financing and new models.

Real estate: Optimized policies to support funding for all types of firms, aiming for stability and adaptation to urbanization.
Data: February services PMI at 52.5 (slower than January), indicating slight economic deceleration; Goldman Sachs predicts price drops for cobalt, nickel, and lithium in the next 12 months.
Commodity markets: Various sectors show mixed performances, with declines in some assets and shifts in fund positions; trends include broader market risks and price movements for key commodities.

Commodity prices: Wider patterns with specific declines highlighted, and risk premium analysis showing interconnected economic tensions.
Broader assets: Equities and bonds reflect uncertain conditions, with indices like the Shanghai Composite and commodities indexes indicating volatility.

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