世界发展银行-Tanzania-Health-Policy-Note---Opportunities-for-Prioritizing-Health-in-the-Budget_4页_188kb
报告摘要
Tanzania Health Policy Note Summary
Core Content
This policy note addresses the issue of health budget prioritization in Tanzania, highlighting the opportunities for increasing health sector investments despite a strong macroeconomic environment. It is part of a broader public expenditure review aimed at fostering dialogue among government, civil society, and development partners regarding health finance challenges and recommendations.
Main Findings
- Economic Growth and Revenue Increase: Tanzania has experienced consistent real GDP growth of around 7% over the past decade, with a notable increase in government revenue. From 2008 to 2018, government revenue almost quadrupled, indicating a strong fiscal position.
- Budgetary Space: The growth in revenue and expenditure has created fiscal space, which could be used to increase health sector allocations. However, this potential has not been fully realized.
- Health Budget Contraction: Despite overall economic growth, the health sector's share of the general government budget has declined from a higher level in 2010 to about 6% in 2017, a reduction of 3 percentage points.
- Fiscal Priorities: The government has focused on infrastructure and wage bill expenditures, which together account for the majority of total expenditures. This has resulted in a de-facto shift away from health as a priority.
- Debt and Inflation: Tanzania's debt-to-GDP ratio has increased from 33.8% in 2015 to 41.2% in 2019, but the country remains at low risk of debt distress due to manageable interest payments.
Key Economic Indicators (Table 1)
| Indicator | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GDP growth, real | 7.1 | 7 | 6.2 | 6.8 | 6.8 |
| GDP per capita (current USD) | 1,032 | 957 | 970 | 1,032 | 1,100 |
| Inflation (end of period), percent changes | 4.8 | 6.8 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 |
| Revenue (% of GDP) | 14.9 | 14.5 | 15.9 | 16.7 | 16.6 |
| Expenditure (% of GDP) | 17.9 | 17.8 | 19.7 | 21.0 | 21.2 |
| Fiscal balance (% of GDP) | -5.2 | -3.5 | -1.5 | -4.2 | -4.6 |
| Debt to GDP ratio | 33.8 | 36.9 | 39.0 | 40.3 | 41.2 |
Main Recommendations
-
Present Health as an Economic Investment:
- Emphasize that health investment is not only a social service but also an economic one.
- Advocate for increased health budget allocations by framing them as an economic investment.
- Recommend a dedicated study to quantify the economic returns of health investments in Tanzania.
-
Ensure Efficient Use of Funds:
- Highlight the importance of evidence showing that health funds are used effectively to improve service delivery.
- Suggest that the government should focus on ensuring that funds reach frontline health services.
- Recommend adopting the model of direct facility financing used by basket fund partners to enhance efficiency.
-
Monitor Non-Wage Recurrent Expenditures:
- Note that non-wage recurrent expenditures are easier to freeze but are essential for service delivery.
- Recommend that the growth of these expenditures should be monitored and aligned with overall expenditure growth.
- Suggest that they should at least match the growth rate of overall non-wage expenditures.
Conclusion
Tanzania is in a strong economic position with high GDP growth and increasing revenue. This provides an opportunity for the government to re-prioritize health in the budget. While the health budget has grown in absolute terms, its share of the general government budget has decreased, indicating a de-facto shift away from health. The government should consider health as an economic investment, ensure efficient fund utilization, and monitor non-wage recurrent expenditures to make better use of available fiscal space.
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