2025-06-02-KROLL-全球软件行业更新——2025年春季(英)_21页_1mb
报告摘要
Global Software Sector Update - Spring 2025
Executive Summary
- Q1 2025 recorded a strong performance in software M&A with 714 deals, a 36% YoY increase in volume and 23% rise in deal value.
- Transaction activity sets the stage for a record year in volume, though political uncertainty and trade tariffs may slow future activity.
- Public SaaS valuation multiples decreased to 5.1x EV/NTM revenue, below the 15-year median, reflecting macroeconomic pressures and tariff concerns.
- High-value deals highlight cloud security (Google's $32bn acquisition of Wiz) and scaling SaaS businesses as key priorities.
- Investment continues across software niches: Cybersecurity led Q1 stock price growth, while cyclical sectors like CX & Engagement declined.
Key Market Updates
Q1 Deal Activity
- Deal value rose 23% YoY to over $282 billion.
- Deal volume reached 714 transactions, setting a record quarter for activity.
- Strategic deals (PE) remained relatively subdued, constituting only around 10% of the total market activity.
Top Software Acquisitions (Q1 2025)
- Google acquired Wiz: $32 billion, enhancing cloud security capabilities.
- EQT-backed EQT acquired Fortnox: Supporting expansion in financial services.
- Clearlake-backed Clearlake acquired Dun & Bradstreet: Strengthening in business intelligence.
- Turn/River acquired SolarWinds: Pushing into secure IT infrastructure management.
- SoftBank acquired Ampere Computing: Bolstering AI infrastructure investments.
Deal Multiples & Valuation Trends
- Private equity (PE) deals continued with steady multiples (4.5x EV/NTM revenue), while strategic deals saw increasing multiples (6x EV/NTM revenue).
- Valuation gap widens between scaled SaaS players and smaller firms: Revenue tiers below $25mn face lower premiums.
- Median SaaS valuation dipped to 5.1x EV/NTM versus the long-term average of 5.2x, aligning more closely with the 3-year median.
Sector Performance
- Cybersecurity drove overall stock performance in Q1, with a median gain of 12.3%.
- Subsectors with high multiples (Engineering, ERP/SCM) are supported by strong revenue growth, while high-margin companies face lower valuations.
- Strategic interest in high-growth sectors persists, with significant premiums attached to companies showing double-digit revenue growth.
Major Deal Highlights
Strategic Acquisitions
| Transaction | Acquirer | Deal Value (Billions) | Revenue Multiple (EV/NTM) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Google / Wiz | 32 | 45.7x1 | |
| EQT / Fortnox | EQT SPAC | 4.4 | 26.5x2 |
| Clearlake / Dun & Bradstreet | Clearlake | 7.5 | 3.1x3 |
| Turn/River / SolarWinds | Turn/River | 4.4 | 5.5x4 |
1 Estimated $700m ARR at time of transaction
2 Based on expected CY25 revenue
3 Based on forward Jun-26 revenue
Note: This summary is based on the provided document content and maintains a professional tone without any graphical data visualizations included in text format.
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