2022-09-29-莱坊-Europe_s_Last_Mile_European_Logistics_Report_2022_14页_3mb

报告摘要

Europe's Last Mile: Logistics Demand Summary

Introduction: Urban populations are growing rapidly, fueling demand for last-mile logistics and urban logistics space due to increased online retail and faster consumer expectations.
Key Drivers: Rising urban populations, higher online penetration rates, and growing e-commerce sales are key factors driving last-mile logistics demand. Europe's population is forecasted to reach 414 million by 2050.
Space Requirements: Based on hub-and-spoke distribution models, online retail spend requires approximately 24,000 sq m of urban logistics space per €1 billion. Over the next five years, the seven key markets (France, Germany, Italy, Netherlands, Poland, Spain, Sweden) will need about 3.5 million sq m of additional last-mile space.
Country-Specific Needs: Germany faces the highest demand for new last-mile space, with an estimated 1.37 million sq m needed. Poland and Spain are expected to have the fastest growth rates. France and the Netherlands also require significant expansions.
Hotspots: Top cities include Paris, Berlin, Munich, Warsaw, Madrid, and Barcelona. Growth hotspots are driven by demographics, household income, and online penetration rates, with Poland's Warsaw and Spain's Madrid showing strong increases.
Conclusion: The demand for urban logistics space will continue to grow, constrained by supply limitations and competition for land use. Economic and consumer trends, along with evolving distribution models, may impact future needs. Uncertainty remains due to changing conditions.