2022-11-16-joshbersin-2022年HR预测报告_23页_1mb
报告摘要
HR Predictions for 2022 Summary
Economic Growth & Labor Market
- Economic Expansion: Global GDP projected to grow by 3.8% in 2022 and 3% in 2023, driving increased demand for talent.
- Labor Shortage: U.S. employment projected to exceed 160 million in late 2022, the highest ever—creating a massive skills gap across industries (e.g., construction, healthcare, green energy).
- Inflation Impact: Companies are focusing on talent retention amid inflation, offering flexible benefits and bonuses.
Work Transformation
- Hybrid Work Evolution: Remote work now a standard business practice; leaders face divide over office vs. remote preferences. Future includes immersive virtual environments (metaverse) for collaboration.
- Talent Mobility: Internal mobility platforms (e.g., talent marketplaces) are becoming essential to address leaks in workforce retention (e.g., ~11 million open positions in U.S. in 2021).
- Career Pathways: Companies are designing career pathways using skills adjacencies to upskill employees into in-demand roles (e.g., cybersecurity, AI engineers).
Technology & Data
- AI & Skills Taxonomy: Advanced analytics, AI-driven skills matching, and skills taxonomies are central to talent management.
- HR Tech Consolidation: HR tech market is consolidating (e.g., mergers of talent intelligence platforms, creator tools, and recruitment systems).
- People Analytics: PA becoming a key success driver; CHROs must integrate HR into broader business analytics.
Talent Acquisition & Development
- Skills-Focused Hiring: Reducing reliance on traditional metrics (degrees/experience) and prioritizing job-relevant skills and behavioral assessments.
- Diversity, Equity & Inclusion: Frameworks to build belonging and accountability, reframed as systems of belonging, equity, and inclusion (BEI).
- Early Pay Access: Companies like DailyPay offer on-demand pay to improve retention and financial stress relief.
Employee Experience & Wellbeing
- Human-Centric Leadership: Focus on empathy, empowerment, and flexibility—key to retention and productivity.
- Mental Health & Trust: EX initiatives prioritize psychological safety, employee listening platforms, and transparency.
- Sustainability: Increasingly linked to talent attraction (e.g., Genentech’s efforts on climate anxiety).
Leadership & Role Evolution
- CHRO Transformation: Role central to driving talent strategy, leveraging HR tech, and integrating HR capabilities into business outcomes.
- HR as a Design Profession: HR teams are reorganized and redesigned to focus on agile service delivery and employee-centricity.
- Capability Development: HR must build analytics, storytelling, and data skills to support business growth.
Key Takeaways for 2022
HR must address talent shortages through innovative strategies: invest in technology, redesign work models, prioritize wellbeing and fairness, and adapt to competitive economies.
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