2012年-世界发展银行全球_Disaster_Risk_Management_in_South_Asia___A_Regional_Overview_116页_53mb
报告摘要
Summary of "Disaster Risk Management in South Asia: A Regional Overview"
Core Content
This document provides a comprehensive overview of disaster risk management (DRM) in South Asia, highlighting the increasing frequency and intensity of natural disasters, their economic and social impacts, and the need for proactive risk mitigation strategies.
Main Points
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Increasing Disaster Frequency and Impact: The number of disaster events in South Asia has increased significantly over the past four decades, with natural disasters occurring five times more frequently than in the 1970s. Economic losses have also risen, from approximately US$12 billion annually in the 1970s to over US$88 billion since 2000.
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Natural Hazards in South Asia: The region is exposed to a wide range of natural hazards, including earthquakes, cyclones, floods, droughts, and landslides. These hazards are influenced by the region's geo-climatic conditions, such as the Himalayan mountain belt and the coastal areas of the Indian Ocean.
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Key Drivers of Disaster Risk:
- Exposure: Economic growth, urbanization, and increased population density have led to higher exposure of people and assets to natural hazards.
- Vulnerability: Factors such as unsafe building practices, unplanned settlements, and weak governance contribute to the region's vulnerability.
- Climate Change: Rising temperatures and changing precipitation patterns are expected to increase the frequency and severity of certain hazards, such as cyclones and floods.
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Impact of Natural Disasters:
- Over 1,017 natural disasters have occurred in South Asia between 1971 and 2009, affecting over 2 billion people and causing over 800,000 deaths.
- Floods are the most common disaster, impacting 64% of the global population affected by floods.
- Earthquakes and cyclones have significant human and economic impacts, with cyclones being more deadly and floods causing more economic damage.
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Economic and Social Consequences:
- Natural disasters disrupt development efforts, forcing reallocation of funds from long-term planning to relief and recovery.
- Indirect losses, such as reduced business operations, unemployment, and market instability, are increasingly significant and difficult to measure.
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Need for Resilience Building:
- Investing in disaster risk reduction and recovery is essential to prevent future losses.
- Structural measures (e.g., retrofitting buildings, constructing protective infrastructure) and non-structural measures (e.g., land use planning, early warning systems) are both critical to reducing vulnerability.
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Role of the World Bank and GFDRR:
- The World Bank and the Global Facility for Disaster Reduction and Recovery (GFDRR) have made significant investments in DRM across the region.
- These investments focus on building capacity, reducing exposure, and enhancing resilience through policy and infrastructure improvements.
Key Information
Regional Hazard Profile
- Floods: The most common and widespread natural disaster, impacting the largest number of people and assets.
- Cyclones: Second most common, with high economic losses and significant human casualties.
- Earthquakes: Although less frequent, they have high mortality rates due to sudden and concentrated impacts.
- Droughts: Impact is significant in agricultural regions, with 60% of cultivated land dependent on rainfall.
- Landslides: Common in mountainous areas, especially in the Himalayas.
Country Profiles
- Afghanistan: High exposure to earthquakes and droughts.
- Bangladesh: Vulnerable to floods and cyclones, with a high percentage of disaster events attributed to these hazards.
- Bhutan: Exposure to landslides and earthquakes.
- India: Diverse hazards including floods, droughts, and earthquakes.
- Maldives: High vulnerability to cyclones and rising sea levels.
- Nepal: Significant earthquake risk due to tectonic activity.
- Pakistan: Vulnerable to floods and cyclones.
- Sri Lanka: Exposure to cyclones, floods, and earthquakes.
Investment and Mitigation Efforts
- The World Bank and GFDRR have invested in DRM across all South Asian countries, focusing on early warning systems, infrastructure resilience, and policy frameworks.
- Investments aim to reduce the impact of disasters and build long-term resilience in the face of climate change.
Conclusion
- Disaster risk management is critical for sustainable development in South Asia.
- The region faces a growing threat from natural disasters due to increased exposure, vulnerability, and the effects of climate change.
- Proactive measures, including both structural and non-structural interventions, are necessary to reduce the impact of disasters and protect populations and economies.
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