战略与国际研究中心-Select-Briefing-Vol-2,-No-8_2页_216kb

报告摘要

France-Poland Relations: French President Jacques Chirac hosted President Aleksander Kwasniewski in Arras on 28 February to mend strained relations. Chirac emphasized that divisions are in the past and highlighted France as Poland's largest foreign investor.
Key Issues Discussed: The two leaders addressed France's labor restrictions on Polish immigrants and the need for a compromise on the EU constitution.
Foreign Policy Stance: Both leaders agreed on the necessity of removing foreign troops from Lebanon and supporting a UN inquiry into the assassination of former Lebanese Prime Minister Rafik Hariri. However, they had differing views on Russia, with France seeing it as a strategic partner and Poland having strained relations due to the Ukrainian elections.

New Centrist Party: The Democratic Party, a new centrist formation, was founded by Wladyslaw Frasyniuk and Jerzy Hausner. It is expected to become an official political party in April.
EU Constitution Referendum: A recent CBOS poll showed that two-thirds of Poles plan to vote in the EU Constitution Treaty referendum. Of those, 64% support adoption, 7% oppose, and 29% are undecided. 77% of respondents support Poland's EU integration.

Prime Minister's Resignation: Prime Minister Stanislav Gross faces pressure to resign from the Christian Democratic Party over a financial scandal. He may step down if not supported by the Social Democrats at a party meeting on 5 March.
Coalition and Opposition: The Social Democrats want to dismiss three Christian Democrat ministers and consider forming a minority government. The Freedom Union opposes this, while the Civic Democratic Party pushes for a vote of confidence and early elections.
Public Opinion: A SC&C poll indicates that half of the Czech population would welcome Gross's resignation, and one-third supports early elections.

Russian Interest in Transpetrol: Russian President Vladimir Putin expressed interest in purchasing Yukos' 49% stake in Slovakia's Transpetrol. The Slovak cabinet sold this stake to Yukos in 2002 for $74 million.

Israeli Relations: Prime Minister Ferenc Gyurcsany met with Israel's Deputy Prime Minister Silvan Shalom, emphasizing Hungary's goal to provide a stable environment for Israeli investments. Israeli businessmen praised investment opportunities but called for reduced bureaucracy and taxes.

EU Defense Cooperation: Defense Undersecretary Jurate Raguckiene attended the first meeting of EU armaments directors in Brussels. The EDA aims to ensure consistent development of defense capabilities among member states.

Afghanistan Mission: The commander of Estonia's defense forces, Tarmo Kouts, announced a planned increase in troops in Afghanistan. Estonia is set to cooperate with a British-led provincial reconstruction team.
Iraq Mission Extension: A proposal to extend Estonia's mission in Iraq by 6–12 months was introduced by coalition parties Reform and Res Republic. The move has sparked controversy ahead of elections, with opposition calling for the return of Estonian soldiers.

U.S.-EU Cooperation: Foreign Minister Artis Pabriks met with U.S. Ambassador Rockwell Schnabel in Riga, discussing U.S.-EU cooperation and Latvia's desire for constructive relations with Russia.

EU Accession Talks: Croatian President Stipe Mesic met with EU officials on 1 March to prepare for upcoming accession talks. EU officials urged Croatia to locate General Ante Gotovina, a suspected war criminal, while the Croatian government confirmed an intensive search.

National Security Strategy: President Traian Basescu outlined a new national security strategy on 28 February, focusing on counter-terrorism, WMD proliferation, and regional stability.
EU Accession Monitoring: 25 European Commissioners will visit Romania on 28 February to assess its readiness for EU accession, with the treaty expected to be signed on 25 April.

Defense Cooperation: Slovenian Defense Minister Karl Erjavec announced support for Bosnia's defense, military, and computer training. He also pledged support for Bosnia's NATO and EU membership.
Minority Rights: Prime Minister Janez Jansa met with ethnic and religious minorities, including Protestants, Hungarians, and Roma, and proposed a new bill on Roma issues. A government commission will examine the potential denationalization of the Protestant Church's property.
Employment Figures: Slovenia has a low unemployment rate (6–7%), significantly better than some EU members.

EU Accession Agenda: Prime Minister Simeon Saxcoburggotski introduced a new agenda to improve social conditions ahead of EU accession, focusing on pension and welfare reforms.
NATO Participation: Bulgaria plans to expand its involvement in NATO missions by sending nuclear, biological, and chemical defense units to the rapid reaction force. It will also send an additional 30 servicemen to the NATO mission in Afghanistan.
Military Modernization: A motion to establish an investigative commission into military procurement deals was rejected by parliament, with the DSB party criticizing the lack of transparency.

OSCE Budget Dispute: Russia raised concerns at the OSCE Parliamentary Assembly in Vienna about budget contributions, suggesting they should be proportional to GDP. Discussions are ongoing, and the 2005 budget cannot be approved until consensus is reached.
OSCE Agenda: The OSCE will focus on military doctrines, energy security, and anti-terrorism measures. Slovenian Foreign Minister Dimitrij Rupel will present the organization's reform agenda during a visit to Washington, D.C. between 7–9 March.

EU Integration: Most countries in the region are actively working toward EU integration, with polls showing strong public support.
Political Tensions: Political instability is present in several countries, with coalition pressures, public opinion shifts, and potential changes in government.
Defense and Security: Defense cooperation with the EU and NATO is a priority, with many countries planning to increase military involvement and improve capabilities.
Russia's Role: Russia is a significant player in some regions, particularly in energy and military sectors, but relations remain strained in others due to geopolitical issues.

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