战略与国际研究中心-Select-Briefing-Vol-4,-No-36_2页_229kb
报告摘要
CSIS New European Democracies Project Summary - October 26, 2007
Central European Update
Czech Republic
- U.S.-Czech Defense Talks: U.S. Secretary of Defense Robert Gates met with Czech President Vaclav Klaus, Prime Minister Mirek Topolanek, and Defense Minister Vlasta Parkanova to discuss the proposed U.S. radar base.
- Russian Concerns: To address Russian concerns, Washington proposed allowing Russian inspectors to monitor the radar base's assembly and operations, but no permanent Russian soldiers would be stationed in the country.
- Political Reactions: Several Czech politicians found the proposal unacceptable, with Lubomir Zaoralek, Deputy Chairman of the Czech Chamber of Deputies, warning of threats to Czech sovereignty.
Slovakia
- Election Observer Expulsion: A Slovak election observer and a Czech interpreter were expelled from Cuba after meeting with dissident Guillermo Farias.
- Economic Deficit: Eurostat revised Slovakia's 2006 government deficit from 3.49% to 3.69% of GDP. The 2007 deficit is estimated between 2.7% and 2.9%, but uncertain construction costs may affect the final figure.
- Euro Adoption: A deficit exceeding 3% of GDP would prevent Slovakia from joining the euro in 2009. The final decision will be made in May 2008.
- Benes Decrees: U.S. Congressman Tom Lantos urged Slovak Prime Minister Robert Fico to distance from the Benes Decrees, but Fico defended their inviolability.
Poland
- Parliamentary Elections: Donald Tusk's Civic Platform (PO) won the early parliamentary elections with 41.5% of the vote, surpassing PiS's 31.1%. Voter turnout was 54%, the highest in sixteen years.
- New Government: Tusk was nominated as Prime Minister by the victorious Civic Platform.
- EU Cooperation: EU leaders praised the election results, expressing optimism about improved cooperation with Poland. The Kremlin hoped the new government would reduce "demonization" of Russia.
- Reform Treaty: EU-Polish negotiations on the Reform Treaty concluded successfully, with the treaty set to be implemented on 1 January 2009. Poland secured the inclusion of the Ioannina mechanism and an increase in advocate-generals in the European Court of Justice.
Hungary
- Malev Restructuring: Malev, Hungary's airline, announced plans to suspend transatlantic flights to New York and Toronto during the winter as part of its restructuring.
- Protests: On 23 October, Hungary held a peaceful protest commemorating the 51st anniversary of the 1956 anti-Soviet revolution. The protest was preceded by clashes near the Opera House in Budapest, resulting in 19 injuries.
Slovenia
- EU Presidency Priorities: Slovenian Foreign Minister Dimitrij Rupel stated that EU unity over Kosovo's final status will be a priority during Slovenia's EU presidency starting in January 2008.
- Kosovo and Macedonia Visits: Rupel visited Kosovo and Skopje, emphasizing support for Macedonia's integration into Euro-Atlantic structures and engaging with various ethnic groups in Kosovo.
- Presidential Election: Slovenians voted for a new president on 21 October. No candidate secured an absolute majority, and a run-off is expected on 11 November.
Baltic States Update
Latvia
- No-Confidence Vote: The Latvian government, led by Prime Minister Aigars Kalvitis, survived a no-confidence vote on 23 October. The motion failed with 56 votes against and 38 in favor.
- Anti-Corruption Agency: Kalvitis defended the suspension of Alekseejs Loskutov, chief of the anti-corruption agency, amid protests.
- Fishing Quota: The Latvian agriculture ministry rejected the EU's proposed 15% reduction in cod fishing quotas in the Baltic Sea, arguing it would not curb illegal fishing.
Lithuania
- Energy Bridge: Officials forecast that Poland and Lithuania will eventually reach an agreement on the "energy bridge" project to link their energy grids, despite recent setbacks.
- Technical Delays: President Valdas Adamkus stated that the project was not signed due to technical reasons and will be revisited.
Estonia
- Euro Adoption: Estonia is preparing for euro adoption but faces challenges with a 7% inflation rate, higher than the Maastricht criteria.
- Dual Currency Proposal: Vice Speaker Taavi Veskimagi proposed introducing the euro as a parallel currency, but Prime Minister Andrus Ansip opposed it, citing high costs and no real benefits.
- EU Relations: President Toomas Hendrik Ilves highlighted Moldova's importance in the EU's neighborhood policy and emphasized the need for progress on the Transnistrian issue.
Southeast European Update
Bulgaria
- EU Reform Treaty: President Georgi Purvanov praised the Lisbon agreement on the EU Reform Treaty as a success, and the treaty is expected to be signed in December and ratified before June 2009.
- Education Policy: A no-confidence motion was debated in parliament over the government's handling of education, following a three-week teachers' strike. Prime Minister Sergey Stanishev acknowledged deficiencies but attributed them to necessary modernization.
- Border Cooperation: Bulgarian, Romanian, Ukrainian, Russian, Georgian, and Turkish border services signed a cooperation agreement to combat drug trafficking, illegal weapons trade, and terrorism.
Croatia
- Neum Bridge Project: Croatia began construction of a bridge to connect Neum to the rest of the country, bypassing Bosnia-Herzegovina. Sarajevo threatened to take the issue to international arbitration.
- Gas Pipeline: Plinacro announced a USD 313.7 million gas pipeline project from Bosiljevo to Split, set to begin on 30 October.
- IMF Dismissal: Prime Minister Ivo Sanader rejected the IMF's warning about Croatia's financial risks, stating the government was managing debt and aiming for a zero budgetary deficit by 2010.
Romania
- Montenegro Relations: Romanian Prime Minister Calin Popescu-Tariceanu expressed willingness to assist Montenegro in its relations with the EU and NATO.
- NATO Security: Sorin Ducaru, Romania's NATO representative, discussed the need for a complementary missile defense project for southeastern NATO members and highlighted the upcoming 2008 NATO Summit in Romania.
- Turkey Visit: Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan visited Romania, signing agreements on disaster prevention and visa procedures.
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