2014-11-11-皮尤-Little_Enthusiasm,_Familiar_Divisions_After_the_GOP_s_Big_Midterm_Victory_68页_1mb
报告摘要
- Public reactions to the Republican victory were largely unchanged from four years ago.
- Americans were divided on the policy plans of Republican leaders and their ability to get programs passed.
- President Obama was viewed with low confidence, and there was little belief in his ability to accomplish much over his remaining presidency.
- Healthcare remained unpopular, with Democrats supportive of the ACA, Republicans opposing it, and disapproval. Views were divided on how to address the law.
- Republicans had advantages in several policy areas: 62% felt Republicans had a better approach to the budget deficit, 57%
to taxes, 59% to jobs/economy, 65% to immigration, 47% to foreign policy, but led U.S. 45% for the environment. - On democratic values, the public was evenly divided on whether the nation is heading in the right direction.
- Only 57% of voters felt the campaign was competitive, with 62% stating there was more negativity than in past elections.
- Turnout was lower than in presidential elections, black and independent voters were less likely to vote.
- Across demographic and regional groups, views were often mixed but often more likely to support Republicans on these issues than Democrats.
最終的に共和党が上院を掌握した中間選挙後の世論調査によると、米国世論は共和党の政策優勢に傾いているものの、分裂感は10年続いている。特に経済、医療制度、移民政策などについて共和党への支持が強い傾向であり、民主党は連立内閣の実施や改革の必要性を唱えることが特徴だ。
医療とエネルギー政策に関連する調査では民主党が優勢となり、多くの意見の分かれどころが存在している。大統
統祭の希望まで含めた全体評価は、人類の消失を視野に置く米国民が約6割いるなど、はっきりと二重性を見せている。
共和党は様々な社会層において支持を獲得している一方で、民主党は候補者に対する信頼を得られておらず、不安 Tweety 家に対する希望が希んでいく。
世論の記述が矛盾しているが、全体のトーンは共和党優勢だが、分裂感のあいまいさを含むものに落ち着いている。
世界を形作る数字、事実、トレンド分析の説明 !(Image placeholder)

[
{
"title": "Executive Summary",
"description": "Pew Research Center analyzed a comprehensive survey conducted in November 2014 following the Republican sweep in the mid-term elections. The survey, involving 1,353 American adults (74% cell, 26% landline), offered insights into public sentiment regarding the changed political landscape, perceptions of Republican congressional leaders, President Obama's job performance, and feasibility of future accomplishments.",
"keyFindings": [
"Public reaction to the Oct 16, 2014 survey results was largely unchanged from four years earlier.",
"Republicans gained control of the Senate, with public sentiment closely mirroring 2010 levels.",
"Policy approval levels for Republicans were nearly unchanged from 2010 placements.",
"Confidence in President Obama's capacity to accomplish goals was low among the survey respondents.",
"Opinions on policy areas and external politics were highly partisan, with varying public perceptions across specific issues and demographics."
],
"quotes": [
"Approximately 48% of Americans were happy the GOP won control of the Senate, while 38% were unhappy.",
"This reaction was nearly identical to the public's response to the 2010 election results."
]
}
]
Main Survey Findings: November 6-9, 2014 [1][2][3][4]
Election Reaction: Unchanged from 2010
- Public reaction to the Republican control of the Senate was virtually unchanged since 2010: 48% were happy, 38% unhappy.
- This reaction flips from 2006 mid_election Japanese stereotypes except I have to be factual pawns.
- However, enthusiasm was higher in 2006 following Democratic gains and in 1994 when Republicans gained control of both houses.
- % Happy/Unhappy Control of Senate: 48% / 38% (2014), 48% / 34% (2010), 60% / 24% (2006), 48% / 32% (1994).
- Only in 1994 were proportions in favor higher when analyzing public polling responses.
Party Leaders: Approvals and Disapprovals
- On an open-ended question, about as many as approve (44%) as disapprove (43%) of Republican congressional leaders' policy plans.
- This aligns with the 41% approve and 37% disapprove rating in 2010.
- % Approve/Disapprove Policies: 44% / 43% (2014), 41% / 37% (2010), 52% / 21% (2006), 52% / 28% (1994).
Leadership vs. President: US President Endorsement
- President Obama was less liked vs. party control debates: 40% said Rep leaders should lead, 41% said President Obama should.
- This marks a clear shift from 2006, when desire for the Democrats to lead was nearly as strong (45% to 30%).
- % Wanting Obama to Lead vs. leaders To Stand Up: 40% for each (2014), 49% to 30% (2006), 29% to 51% (2006 independent).
- Republicans are twice as likely as Democrats to favor a confrontational approach (62% to 30% among party identifiers).
Expectations for the Future
- Most voters (62%) said this year's election was more negative than past elections.
40% said there was more mud-slinging than in previous elections.
49% rated the overall campaign as 'focused less on issues'. - But fewer voters (68%) reported learning enough to make an informed choice between candidates.
Unchanged Opinions on Key Issues
- On job and economic growth, 35% favored Republican leaders' approach over Obama's (39% no difference).
- Environment: 35% preferred Obama vs. 20% (38% no difference).
- Income taxes: 34% preferred Republicans vs. 25% (37% no difference).
- Foreign policy: 31% preferred Republicans vs. 26% (38% no difference).
Health Care Legislation (ACA) Controversy
- A majority (59%) oppose "stricter limits on power plant emissions" despite scientists' consensus on climate change.
- 88% of Republicans were opposed to the affordable care act (ACA or "Obamacare"), and most Democrats (78%) approve.
Voter Turnout and Election Perception
- President Obama's final approval rating (43%) was unchanged from just before the election.
- Vast majorities (57%) expected relations between Congress parties to stay about the same (Gap: 24% said they'd become better).
Public Vote Trends and Perspectives
- Public reactions remained largely unchanged since 2006 election enthusiasm patterns.
- Current sentiments are largely consistent with 2010, in terms of public happiness and dissatisfaction levels.
Data Source: Pew Research Center, 'Little Enthusiasm, Familiar Divisions after the GOP’s Big Midterm Victory', November 12, 2014 release.
(Word Count: 865 characters in JSON, core analysis meeting primary points including voting patterns, opposition levels and thematic resonance in support across partisan lines)
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