20180710-加拿大皇家银行-FINANCIAL_MARKETS_DAILY_1页_249kb
报告摘要
Financial Markets Daily Summary - July 10, 2018
Core Content Overview
This document provides a snapshot of the U.S. interest rates, foreign exchange rates, cross currency rates, and forward exchange rates as of July 10, 2018. The data is organized in tables for clarity and ease of comparison across different time periods and currencies.
U.S. Interest Rates
The U.S. interest rates for various maturities are presented as follows:
| Maturity | Today | Week Ago | Four Weeks Ago |
|---|---|---|---|
| Three-month | 1.99 | 1.98 | 1.95 |
| Six-month | 2.15 | 2.14 | 2.11 |
| Two-year | 2.57 | 2.56 | 2.52 |
| Three-year | 2.66 | 2.65 | 2.66 |
| Five-year | 2.75 | 2.76 | 2.80 |
| 10-year | 2.86 | 2.87 | 2.96 |
| 30-year | 2.97 | 2.99 | 3.10 |
The rates show a slight increase for the three-month and six-month maturities compared to the previous week, while the three-year rate remained stable. The 10-year and 30-year rates have decreased slightly from four weeks ago.
Foreign Exchange Rates
The foreign exchange rates for major currencies against the U.S. dollar are as follows:
| Currency | Today | Week Ago | Four Weeks Ago |
|---|---|---|---|
| US/CAD | 0.76112 | 0.76109 | 0.76834 |
| US/EUR | 1.17 | 1.1657 | 1.1745 |
| US/GBP | 1.3245 | 1.3193 | 1.3372 |
| JPY/US | 111.225 | 110.595 | 110.375 |
| MXN/US | 19.125 | 19.457 | 20.716 |
| CHF/US | 0.9948 | 0.9925 | 0.9868 |
| US/AUD | 0.7438 | 0.7386 | 0.7574 |
| CNY/US | 6.6327 | 6.6558 | 6.4105 |
| US/NZD | 0.6814 | 0.6755 | 0.7007 |
| Silver | 16.02 | 16.05 | 16.86 |
| Gold | 1251.1 | 1252.9 | 1296 |
The U.S. dollar has weakened slightly against the Canadian dollar, euro, and British pound over the past week. The Japanese yen and Mexican peso have also appreciated against the U.S. dollar, while the Swiss franc and Australian dollar have depreciated.
Cross Currency Rates
The cross currency rates between major currencies are as follows:
| Currency | USD | CAD | EUR | MXN | JPY | GBP | CHF | AUD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD | 1.0 | 0.7611 | 1.16995 | 0.052287 | 0.008991 | 1.32445 | 1.005227 | 0.7438 |
| CAD | 1.3139 | 1.0 | 1.5371 | 0.0687 | 0.0118 | 1.7401 | 1.3207 | 0.9772 |
| EUR | 0.8547 | 0.6506 | 1.0 | 0.0447 | 0.0077 | 1.1321 | 0.8592 | 0.6358 |
| MXN | 19.1253 | 14.5566 | 22.3756 | 1.0 | 0.1720 | 25.3304 | 19.2252 | 14.2254 |
| JPY | 111.23 | 84.66 | 130.13 | 5.82 | 1.0 | 147.31 | 111.81 | 82.73 |
| GBP | 0.7550 | 0.5747 | 0.8833 | 0.0395 | 0.0068 | 1.0 | 0.7590 | 0.5616 |
| CHF | 0.9948 | 0.7572 | 1.1639 | 0.0520 | 0.0089 | 1.3176 | 1.0 | 0.7399 |
| AUD | 1.3444 | 1.0233 | 1.5729 | 0.0703 | 0.0121 | 1.7807 | 1.3515 | 1.0 |
The U.S. dollar is the base currency, and the table shows the exchange rates of other currencies against it. The Canadian dollar and euro have weakened against the U.S. dollar, while the British pound and Japanese yen have strengthened.
Forward Exchange Rates
The forward exchange rates for major currencies are as follows:
| Currency | Spot | One-month | Three-month | Six-month | One-year | Two-year | Three-year | Four-year | Five-year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C$ | 1.3139 | 1.3132 | 1.3118 | 1.3097 | 1.3059 | 1.2988 | 1.2932 | 1.2899 | 1.2858 |
| Euro* | 1.17 | 1.1725 | 1.1779 | 1.1873 | 1.2060 | 1.2463 | 1.2835 | 1.3178 | 1.3491 |
| Yen | 111.225 | 110.9884 | 110.5146 | 109.6760 | 108.0413 | 104.4909 | 101.0082 | 97.6940 | 94.5140 |
| UK pound* | 1.3245 | 1.3263 | 1.3298 | 1.3358 | 1.3474 | 1.3720 | 1.3939 | 1.4130 | 1.4306 |
The forward rates indicate a general trend of depreciation for the Canadian dollar, euro, and UK pound against the U.S. dollar over the next five years. The yen is also expected to weaken against the U.S. dollar in the long term.
Main Views and Key Information
- Interest Rates: The U.S. interest rates have shown a slight upward trend for short-term maturities, but long-term rates have decreased from four weeks ago.
- Foreign Exchange Rates: The U.S. dollar has weakened against several major currencies, including the Canadian dollar, euro, and British pound, while the yen and peso have appreciated.
- Cross Currency Rates: The U.S. dollar is the base currency, and the exchange rates of other currencies against it have fluctuated slightly over the past week.
- Forward Exchange Rates: The forward rates suggest a long-term depreciation of the Canadian dollar, euro, and UK pound against the U.S. dollar, with the yen also expected to weaken.
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