20180716-加拿大皇家银行-FINANCIAL_MARKETS_DAILY__1页_249kb
报告摘要
Financial Markets Daily Summary - July 16, 2018
Core Content Overview
This summary provides a snapshot of key financial market indicators on July 16, 2018, including U.S. interest rates, foreign exchange rates, cross currency rates, and forward exchange rates. The data reflects the current state of the markets compared to the previous week and four weeks ago, offering insights into trends and fluctuations.
U.S. Interest Rates
The U.S. interest rates for various maturities are as follows:
| Maturity | Today | Week Ago | Four Weeks Ago |
|---|---|---|---|
| Three-month | 1.98% | 1.96% | 1.94% |
| Six-month | 2.16% | 2.12% | 2.08% |
| Two-year | 2.59% | 2.55% | 2.55% |
| Three-year | 2.66% | 2.64% | 2.68% |
| Five-year | 2.72% | 2.72% | 2.80% |
| 10-year | 2.82% | 2.83% | 2.92% |
| 30-year | 2.93% | 2.94% | 3.05% |
The rates show a slight increase in the three-month and two-year maturities compared to the previous week, while the three-year rate remained stable. The 10-year and 30-year rates have decreased slightly from the previous week but are still higher than four weeks ago.
Foreign Exchange Rates
The U.S. dollar exchange rates against major currencies on July 16, 2018, are:
| Currency | Today | Week Ago | Four Weeks Ago |
|---|---|---|---|
| CAD | 0.76051 | 0.76281 | 0.75758 |
| EUR | 1.1713 | 1.1751 | 1.1623 |
| GBP | 1.3267 | 1.3259 | 1.3244 |
| JPY | 112.345 | 110.85 | 110.55 |
| MXN | 18.818 | 19.220 | 20.509 |
| CHF | 0.9977 | 0.9916 | 0.9952 |
| AUD | 0.7428 | 0.7467 | 0.7424 |
| CNY | 6.6802 | 6.6115 | 6.4599 |
The USD has weakened slightly against the CAD, EUR, and GBP, while it has strengthened against the JPY, MXN, and AUD. The USD/CNY rate has also decreased, indicating a weaker U.S. dollar against the Chinese yuan.
Cross Currency Rates
The cross currency rates for major currencies are as follows:
| Currency | USD | CAD | EUR | MXN | JPY | GBP | CHF | AUD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD | 1.0 | 0.7605 | 1.1713 | 0.05314 | 0.008901 | 1.3267 | 1.002356 | 0.7428 |
| CAD | 1.3149 | 1.0 | 1.5401 | 0.0699 | 0.0117 | 1.7445 | 1.3180 | 0.9767 |
| EUR | 0.8538 | 0.6493 | 1.0 | 0.0454 | 0.0076 | 1.1327 | 0.8558 | 0.6342 |
| MXN | 18.8183 | 14.3116 | 22.0419 | 1.0 | 0.1675 | 24.9662 | 18.8626 | 13.9782 |
| JPY | 112.35 | 85.44 | 131.59 | 5.97 | 1.0 | 149.05 | 112.61 | 83.45 |
| GBP | 0.7537 | 0.5732 | 0.8829 | 0.0401 | 0.0067 | 1.0 | 0.7555 | 0.5599 |
| CHF | 0.9977 | 0.7587 | 1.1685 | 0.0530 | 0.0089 | 1.3236 | 1.0 | 0.7411 |
| AUD | 1.3463 | 1.0238 | 1.5769 | 0.0715 | 0.0120 | 1.7861 | 1.3494 | 1.0 |
The USD is the base currency, and the table shows the relative value of other currencies against it. The CAD, EUR, and GBP have weakened against the USD, while the JPY, MXN, and AUD have strengthened.
Forward Exchange Rates
The forward exchange rates for major currencies are as follows:
| Currency | Spot | One-month | Three-month | Six-month | One-year | Two-year | Three-year | Four-year | Five-year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAD | 1.3149 | 1.3142 | 1.3129 | 1.3108 | 1.3071 | 1.3000 | 1.2945 | 1.2910 | 1.2880 |
| Euro* | 1.1713 | 1.1741 | 1.1794 | 1.1885 | 1.2073 | 1.2471 | 1.2834 | 1.3169 | 1.3476 |
| Yen | 112.345 | 112.1085 | 111.6386 | 110.8040 | 109.1307 | 105.5438 | 102.0595 | 98.7510 | 95.5860 |
| UK pound* | 1.3267 | 1.3285 | 1.3319 | 1.3378 | 1.3495 | 1.3743 | 1.3961 | 1.4152 | 1.4320 |
The forward rates indicate a general trend of depreciation for the CAD, Euro, and UK pound against the USD over the next five years, while the Yen is expected to weaken significantly. The forward rates for the CAD and Euro have slightly decreased compared to the spot rate, suggesting a potential weakening of these currencies against the USD in the near future.
Key Takeaways
- Interest Rates: The U.S. interest rates have shown a slight upward trend for short-term maturities, while long-term rates have decreased.
- Foreign Exchange: The USD has weakened against CAD, EUR, and GBP, but strengthened against JPY, MXN, and AUD.
- Forward Rates: Forward rates for CAD, Euro, and UK pound indicate a depreciation against the USD over time, while the Yen is expected to weaken significantly.
These trends suggest a cautious market environment with mixed signals across different currency pairs and interest rate maturities.
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