世界旅游论坛-2017年全球旅游行业经济影响报告（英文）-2018.1-17页-12mb

2017 Travel & Tourism Global Economic Impact and Issues Summary

Core Content

The World Travel & Tourism Council (WTTC) released the 2017 Annual Economic Report, highlighting the economic and employment impact of the Travel & Tourism sector across 185 countries and 26 regions. The report emphasizes the sector's resilience despite global shocks and outlines its significant role in driving economic growth and job creation.

Main Points

• Global Contribution in 2016:

  • Travel & Tourism directly contributed $2.3 trillion to the global economy and supported 109 million jobs.
  • Considering indirect and induced impacts, the sector contributed $7.6 trillion to the global economy and supported 292 million jobs, which is 10.2% of the world's GDP and 1 in 10 of all global jobs.

• Leisure vs. Business Travel:

  • In 2016, 76.8% of all travel spending was for leisure travel, while 23.2% was for business travel.

• Domestic vs. International Travel:

  • Domestic travel accounted for 72% of the sector's GDP contribution, with international visitor spending contributing 28%.

• Global Economic Impact in 2016:

  • The sector's direct GDP growth was 3.1%, outperforming the global economy's 2.5% growth.
  • It outperformed several other major sectors, including financial and business services, manufacturing, and retail, but lagged slightly behind the communications sector.

Key Challenges and Trends

• Terrorism and Political Instability:

  • Despite these challenges, the sector remained resilient.
  • In Europe, countries like Belgium, France, and Turkey saw a contraction in inbound tourism spending, while Bulgaria and Cyprus experienced growth.
  • Egypt faced a significant decline in tourism, with international arrivals over 60% below the 2008 peak.

• 2017 Outlook:

  • The global Travel & Tourism GDP contribution is forecast to grow by 3.5% in 2017.
  • Consumer spending power is expected to slow due to inflation, rising debt servicing costs, and a global job creation slowdown.
  • Outbound markets show varied performance:
    • USA is expected to grow by 5.4%.
    • China will see a slight slowdown in outbound spending to 12.0%.
    • UK will experience a contraction in outbound spending due to the depreciation of the pound, which is expected to lead to a 4.2% decrease in 2017.
    • Europe and Middle East will likely see a modest recovery in 2017.

Ten-Year Forecasts

• GDP Contribution:

  • Travel & Tourism is expected to grow at an average of 3.9% annually over the next decade.
  • By 2027, it will contribute $11.4% of global GDP and support over 380 million jobs, which will account for 23% of total global net job creation.

• Job Growth:

  • The sector is expected to support 1 in 9 of all global jobs by 2027.

• Outperformance:

  • Travel & Tourism is expected to outperform the global economy and other major sectors such as communications, financial and business services, manufacturing, and retail and distribution.

Top Performing Countries

• Fastest Growing in 2016:

  • Azerbaijan (46.1%), Mongolia (24.4%), Iceland (20.1%), Cyprus (15.4%), Kazakhstan (15.2%), Moldova (14.2%), Costa Rica (12.1%), Georgia (11.2%), Sri Lanka (10.7%), and Thailand (10.7%).

• Top Travel & Tourism Economies in 2016:

  • United States ($503.7 billion), China ($275.2 billion), Germany ($138.1 billion), Japan ($110.5 billion), United Kingdom ($90.0 billion), France ($89.8 billion), India ($86.2 billion), Italy ($76.7 billion), Spain ($71.1 billion), and Mexico ($63.7 billion).

• Top Travel & Tourism Economies in 2027:

  • China is expected to overtake the USA in terms of total GDP and domestic spending.
  • India is projected to become the fourth largest Travel & Tourism economy.
  • Thailand is expected to surpass Spain as the third largest visitor export market.
  • Qatar, UAE, and Vietnam are also expected to significantly rise in the rankings.

Sustainability and Future Growth

• 2017 is the International Year of Sustainable Tourism for Development, emphasizing the importance of sustainable practices for the sector's future growth.
• The report highlights the impact of tourism on local populations, with Iceland having a ratio of 5:1 international tourists to residents.
• Sustainability is a growing concern, especially for destinations with high tourism ratios, which may face infrastructure and environmental pressures if not managed properly.

Policy and Market Insights

• The WTTC Industry Partners provided insights into future travel trends and consumer expectations.
• Authoritative and reliable data is crucial for making informed policy and planning decisions.
• The report underscores the need for continued investment in infrastructure to support future growth.

Economic Impact of Travel & Tourism

• The economic impact of Travel & Tourism is measured across three levels:

  • Direct: Spending on tourism services and products.
  • Indirect: Supply chain effects.
  • Induced: Effects on local economies through employee spending.

• Travel & Tourism creates jobs, drives exports, and generates prosperity, contributing to GDP, employment, exports, and investment.

Summary of Key Tables

Conclusion

The Travel & Tourism sector continues to be a key driver of global economic growth and employment, with resilience in the face of global shocks. The sector is expected to outperform the global economy over the next decade, with significant growth in Asia-Pacific, India, and China. Sustainability and infrastructure investment will be critical for future success.