2016年-世界发展银行全球_Assessment_of_the_Economic_Impact_of_Cruise_Tourism_in_Papua_New_Guinea_and_Solomon_Islands_120页_4mb

Summary of the Economic Impact of Cruise Tourism in Papua New Guinea & Solomon Islands

Core Content

This report provides an assessment of the economic impact of cruise tourism in Papua New Guinea (PNG) and Solomon Islands (SI), conducted by ICF Consulting Services Hong Kong Limited in association with TNS Australia and Seaport Group, commissioned by the Australian Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade (DFAT), Carnival Australia, and the International Finance Corporation (IFC).

Main Points

• Cruise Tourism Growth: Cruise tourism has become one of the fastest-growing segments of the tourism industry globally, with the Pacific Islands accounting for around 2% of the cruise industry in 2015. The region is expected to see significant growth in the coming years.

• Source Markets: Australia and New Zealand are the most important source markets for the Pacific Islands, due to their geographic proximity.

• Methodology: The study uses a methodology similar to that used in Vanuatu in 2014, involving primary data collection from passengers and crew on two cruises in 2015 and 2016, as well as interviews with local businesses and data from cruise operators.

• Economic Impact Breakdown:

  • Direct Impact: Revenue generated directly from cruise tourism in both countries.
  • Indirect Impact: Revenue generated by local businesses that supply goods and services to direct beneficiaries.
  • Total Impact: Sum of direct and indirect impacts, indicating overall economic activity.
  • Leakage: A portion of the economic impact that flows out of the local economy, primarily through imports and foreign profits.

• Key Findings:

  • PNG Direct Impact: AUD 5.7 million in 2015, with 54% from cruise operators, 43% from passengers, and 3% from crew.
  • SI Direct Impact: AUD 0.6 million in 2015, with 65% from cruise operators, 31% from passengers, and 4% from crew.
  • Total Impact:
    • PNG: AUD 5.9 million
    • SI: AUD 0.64 million
  • Added Value:
    • PNG: AUD 1.1 million (0.01% of GDP)
    • SI: AUD 89,639 (0.01% of GDP)
  • Employment Impact:
    • PNG: 203 jobs (full-time and part-time)
    • SI: 94 jobs (full-time and part-time)

Key Information

Direct Economic Impact

• PNG (2015): Total direct economic impact across five ports was AUD 5.667,686, with an average of AUD 94,461 per port call.
  • Alotau: AUD 2,384,789 (42% of total)
  • Rabaul: AUD 2,318,447 (41% of total)
  • Doini Island: AUD 476,159 (8% of total)
  • Kiriwina: AUD 296,226 (5% of total)
  • Kitava: AUD 192,065 (3% of total)
• SI (2015): Total direct economic impact in Honiara was AUD 600,201, with an average of AUD 46,169 per port call.
  • Honiara: AUD 600,201 (100% of total)
• Extrapolated to the Country:
  • PNG: Estimated total direct impact is AUD 6.362 million (based on 136 port calls).
  • SI: Estimated total direct impact is AUD 0.9 million (based on 47 port calls).

Indirect Economic Impact

• PNG: Estimated indirect economic impact is AUD 208,478.
• SI: Estimated indirect economic impact is AUD 40,821.
• Reasons for Low Indirect Impact:
  • Many businesses operate in the informal economy, limiting the multiplier effect.
  • A significant portion of direct economic impact goes to the government, reducing the amount available for local businesses.

Total Economic Impact

• PNG: AUD 5.876 million (direct: 5.667 million, indirect: 208,478)
• SI: AUD 641,022 (direct: 600,201, indirect: 40,821)

Leakage

• PNG: Estimated at 6% (AUD 352,560)
• SI: Estimated at 10% (AUD 64,102)

Opportunities for Growth

• The study identifies opportunities to increase the economic impact of cruise tourism, including improving infrastructure, enhancing tourism offerings, and better leveraging local supply chains.

Conclusion

Cruise tourism has a measurable economic impact on PNG and SI, though it remains relatively small compared to the overall economies. The industry is growing, and with strategic development, it has the potential to contribute more significantly to local economies. The study highlights the importance of understanding the current economic dynamics and identifying areas for improvement to maximize the benefits of cruise tourism in the region.