未来的电力市场设计_118页_2mb
报告摘要
Summary of "Electricity Market Design of the Future"
Core Content
This document outlines the future electricity market design in Germany, focusing on four key areas:
- Investment framework for renewable energy sources
- Investment framework for controllable capacities
- Locational signals
- Flexibilisation of demand
The goal is to create a secure, affordable, and sustainable electricity system in the context of the energy transition, which is moving Germany toward a climate-neutral electricity system by 2045. The document presents various options for market design and encourages public consultation and political discussion.
Main Functions of the Future Electricity Market
- Coordination: Ensure the most cost-effective use of required capacities and the demand side.
- Investment framework: Provide sufficient certainty for investors to support new technologies and capacities.
- Geographical balancing: Use locational signals to coordinate supply and demand with grid transport capacities.
- Temporal balancing: Optimize the timing of supply and demand to increase flexibility and reduce overall system costs.
Key Fields of Action
1. Investment Framework for Renewable Energy Sources
- Objective: Create a sustainable, reliable, and cost-effective investment framework for renewables.
- Current System: The sliding market premium has supported rapid expansion of renewables while reducing costs.
- Challenges: Uncertainty in market revenues and low returns during periods of low prices.
- Options:
- Option 1: Refinancing contribution as a repayment mechanism.
- Option 2: Two-way production-based contract for difference.
- Option 3: Two-way non-production-based contract for difference.
- Option 4: Capacity payments with non-production-based refinancing contribution.
- Recommendation: Option 4 is considered the closest to the Federal Government's Initiative for Growth, which aims to transition from direct subsidies to investment cost support.
2. Investment Framework for Controllable Capacities
- Objective: Ensure sufficient investment in flexible technologies to balance variable renewable generation.
- Current Issues: Market revenues are uncertain, and fixed costs are becoming more important.
- Options:
- Capacity safeguarding mechanism through peak price hedging (CMP).
- Decentralised capacity market (DCM).
- Central capacity market (CeCM).
- Combined capacity market (CoCM).
- Recommendation: The BMWK favours the Combined Capacity Market (CoCM), which integrates the advantages of both central and decentralised approaches, ensuring long-term investment security and flexibility.
3. Locational Signals
- Objective: Coordinate supply and demand with the grid's transport capacities, especially in a high-renewable system.
- Key Points:
- Grid expansion remains essential, but not to the last "kW".
- Locational signals can reduce grid costs and improve the integration of renewables.
- Options:
- Temporally/regionally differentiated grid fees.
- Regional signals in funding programmes.
- Demand response in congestion management.
- Note: The configuration of bidding zones is not considered an option due to complexity and challenges.
4. Flexibility
- Objective: Leverage demand-side flexibility to enhance system efficiency and security.
- Benefits of Flexibility:
- Improve market value of renewables.
- Increase competitiveness of the German economy.
- Reduce redispatch costs.
- Optimize integration of renewables and controllable appliances.
- Obstacles:
- Inadequate tariff models.
- Inflexible grid fee systems.
- Limited industrial flexibility.
- Recommendation: Develop a coordinated Flexibility Agenda to systematically reduce obstacles and promote flexibility.
Interrelationships Between Fields
- Flexibility and locational signals interact closely, with locational signals helping to guide investment and dispatch decisions.
- Removing obstacles to flexibility can reduce the costs of other market design options.
- The future financing of renewables and controllable capacities is converging, suggesting a common philosophy of cost-effective investment and risk hedging.
Consultation and Next Steps
- The BMWK invites stakeholders to participate in a written consultation until 6 September 2024.
- The results of the consultation will be presented at the Platform Climate-Neutral Electricity System meeting after the summer holidays.
- The Federal Government plans to make a decision on the capacity mechanism in the autumn, with the first key points expected to be adopted in October.
Conclusion
The document provides a comprehensive overview of the options for future electricity market design in Germany, emphasizing the need for a sustainable, flexible, and cost-effective system. It highlights the importance of integrating renewables, ensuring investment certainty, using locational signals, and promoting demand-side flexibility to achieve a climate-neutral and competitive electricity system. The BMWK is leading the process, with the support of stakeholders and the aim of public consultation.
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