20101231-IEA-Oil_and_Gas_Emergency_Policy_Canada_2010_update_19页_1mb
报告摘要
Canada Energy Overview Summary
Core Content
Canada is a significant net oil exporter and the only International Energy Agency (IEA) member country with growing indigenous oil production. It is a resource-rich and energy-intensive nation, with vast reserves of oil and natural gas. The country's energy policy is shaped by a constitutional division of power between federal and provincial governments, with provinces playing a key role in emergency decision-making. Canada's energy security is supported by its extensive supply infrastructure, including pipelines and ports, and its ability to export oil and natural gas to the United States and other markets.
Main Points
1. Energy Outlook
- Canada is a net oil exporter and the only IEA member with growing indigenous oil production.
- Energy consumption is driven by economic and population growth, and the country remains energy-intensive due to its role as a primary producer and exporter.
- Oil and gas dominate Canada's Total Primary Energy Supply (TPES), accounting for nearly two-thirds of the total.
- Hydroelectric power is the primary source of electricity generation, contributing over 59% of total generation in 2008.
- Electricity generation is also supported by coal (16%) and nuclear (15%).
2. Oil Overview
2.1 Market Features and Key Issues
- Canada operates a dual oil market: crude oil is exported from the west and Atlantic offshore, while imported in the east and central regions.
- Oil demand in 2009 was 2.15 mb/d, with the transport sector accounting for 55% and industrial use for 23%.
- Crude oil imports in 2009 were 799 kb/d, with the main sources being United States, Venezuela, Nigeria, and Iraq.
- Net oil imports have been declining, with 2009 imports at 1.066 mb/d, compared to 1.015 mb/d in 2007.
- Oil production in 2009 was 3.2 mb/d, with conventional oil contributing 1.8 mb/d, NGLs 0.7 mb/d, and unconventional oil sands 0.8 mb/d.
- Oil sands hold 170.4 billion barrels of proven recoverable unconventional reserves, with bitumen in-place resources estimated at 1.7 to 2.5 trillion barrels.
- Refining capacity is around 2 mb/d, with utilisation rates exceeding 90% for most of the past decade.
2.2 Oil Supply Infrastructure
- Canada has a vast pipeline network of 220,000 km, including 70,000 km of regulated pipelines.
- Key pipeline systems include:
- Enbridge Pipeline: Delivers 2.2 mb/d from Edmonton to Ontario and the US Great Lakes.
- Express Pipeline: Transports 170 kb/d from Alberta to Wyoming and 120 kb/d to Illinois.
- Trans Mountain Pipeline: Transports 225 kb/d from Alberta to Vancouver and the Puget Sound region.
- Major oil offloading ports exist in Quebec, Saint John, Dartmouth, and Come-by-Chance.
- Storage capacity is not publicly disclosed, as the country does not require industry to hold emergency stocks.
- Refinery locations include Edmonton, Sarnia, and Montreal, while Manitoba, Prince Edward Island, and the Territories have no refineries.
2.3 Decision-making Structure for Oil Emergencies
- In non-emergency times, Provincial governments manage demand restraint and emergency measures.
- In a declared national emergency, the Federal Government can enforce emergency measures under the Energy Supplies Emergency Act.
- The Energy Supplies Allocation Board (ESAB) is responsible for regulating energy supplies, setting parameters for stock drawdown, and issuing product entitlements.
- Federal emergency powers are limited to national emergencies, and Provincial consultation is required before any action is taken.
- The allocation process can take two to three weeks, and product entitlements may take up to 60 days to fully implement.
- Surge production is limited and risky, with most oil resources under Provincial jurisdiction.
2.4 Stocks
- Canada does not hold IEA emergency reserves, and does not have bilateral stocks for other IEA members.
- Commercial stocks are held by market operators for normal operations, with crude oil making up 65% of total industry stocks and finished products 35%.
- Crude oil inventories provide 70 to 100 days of coverage, while product inventories provide 20 to 30 days.
- Stock drawdown in an emergency is managed by the Crude Oil Allocation Program and the Petroleum Products Allocation Program.
- Rationing through coupons is a last resort measure.
Key Information
- Total Primary Energy Supply (TPES) in 2008 was 269,565 ktoe, with oil and gas making up over 60%.
- Oil consumption by sector in 2009 showed transport as the largest consumer, followed by industry and residential.
- Taxes and pricing are determined by provincial governments, with the Federal Government not directly regulating retail fuel prices.
- Federal Government's role in oil emergencies is limited to national emergencies, where it can enforce demand restraint and stock drawdown.
- Surge oil production is constrained by technical and economic limitations, and Provincial governments have primary authority over production decisions.
- Fuel switching is limited, with only less than 1% of total product demand potentially switchable to non-oil alternatives.
- Canada's oil exports are primarily directed to the United States, making it the largest crude oil exporter to the country.
Emergency Policy Highlights
- Demand restraint is the primary tool for managing oil supply disruptions.
- Fuel switching is not a policy in place, and potential capacity is limited.
- Surge production is not a viable long-term strategy due to technical risks and Provincial control.
- Stock drawdown is a last resort, with the ESAB having the authority to regulate and penalise non-compliance.
- Federal emergency powers are limited and only applicable in national emergencies.
Summary of Key Figures
| Year | Production (kb/d) | Demand (kb/d) | Net Imports (kb/d) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1985 | 1,809.0 | 1,525.9 | -283.1 |
| 1990 | 1,964.7 | 1,737.5 | -227.2 |
| 1995 | 2,398.8 | 1,817.2 | -581.6 |
| 2000 | 2,722.6 | 2,034.9 | -687.7 |
| 2005 | 3,052.2 | 2,341.2 | -711.0 |
| 2007 | 3,322.5 | 2,307.4 | -1,015.1 |
| 2008 | 3,250.7 | 2,241.9 | -1,008.8 |
| 2009 | 3,216.9 | 2,150.6 | -1,066.3 |
Natural Gas Overview
- Natural gas is a major component of Canada's energy mix, with 2009 production at 161,289 mcm/y and demand at 94,602 mcm/y.
- Natural gas in TPES has increased from 25.4% in 1985 to 30.7% in 2009.
- Canada exports most of its natural gas to the United States, with domestic production exceeding domestic demand.
- Natural gas consumption by sector includes industry (23.3%), residential (13.3%), and others (63.4%).
- Net imports of natural gas in 2009 were -66,687 mcm/y, indicating a net exporter status.
- Natural gas supply infrastructure includes pipeline systems and ports, with gas infrastructure maps available for reference.
- Emergency policy for natural gas includes regulation of supply, price controls, and allocation mechanisms under the Energy Supplies Emergency Act and Emergencies Act.
Conclusion
Canada's energy system is characterised by strong production, extensive infrastructure, and market-driven policies. While it is a net exporter of oil and natural gas, it is not immune to supply disruptions, and emergency preparedness involves provincial and federal coordination. The country's energy security is bolstered by its diversified markets and robust supply chains, but long-term challenges include climate change, market volatility, and regulatory constraints.
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