2016年-世界发展银行全球_Mexico_Financial_Sector_Assessment_Program___Infrastructure_Finance_and_Capital_Markets_--_Achievements_and_Challenges_18页_395kb
报告摘要
Summary of the Technical Note: Infrastructure Finance and Capital Markets in Mexico
Core Content
This Technical Note provides an analysis of Mexico's capital markets and infrastructure financing landscape as part of the World Bank-IMF Financial Sector Assessment Program (FSAP) mission in 2016. It outlines the current state of infrastructure finance, challenges, and opportunities in the context of capital markets development.
Main Viewpoints
- Mexico's infrastructure finance gap is significant and cannot be filled by traditional government and bank financing alone.
- Capital markets are seen as a promising complement to traditional sources, especially for long-term financing of mature infrastructure projects.
- Institutional investors, such as pension funds and insurance companies, are key to mobilizing long-term capital for infrastructure.
- Infrastructure financing instruments are evolving, with a focus on equity and debt products tailored to the needs of the sector.
- PPP frameworks are being developed and refined to attract private sector participation in public infrastructure projects.
- Regulatory and governance issues remain a challenge, especially in aligning investment models with the long-term nature of infrastructure projects.
Key Information
A. Introduction
- Mexico's infrastructure financing challenges are similar to those of other Advanced Economies (AEs) and large Emerging Market Economies (EMEs).
- Traditional financing sources are insufficient due to fiscal constraints and regulatory limitations.
- Capital markets can provide additional long-term financing and lower costs through increased competition.
- Three key elements of successful capital market instruments are: lower transaction costs, hybrid financing models, and standardization of instruments.
B. Capital Markets Development in Mexico
Instruments
- Government bond markets are competitive, diversified, and well-regulated, with an outstanding size of 23% of GDP as of end-2016.
- Non-government bond markets are smaller, representing 9% of GDP as of December 2015, and are dominated by non-financial sector issues.
- Infrastructure project bonds have seen growth since 2009, reaching 10% of non-government bonds or 1% of GDP by end-2015.
- These bonds are well-suited for mature infrastructure projects with stable revenues and low risk.
Equity Markets
- Equity markets in Mexico are relatively small, representing 38% of GDP as of end-2015.
- The market is dominated by large public sector conglomerates and family-owned companies, limiting dynamism.
- Mutual funds are mostly short-term and operate as money market funds.
- Pension funds are the main long-term investors, holding 14% of GDP, but have only invested 4.5% of AUM in infrastructure.
- Foreign investors are a key source of long-term finance, but their involvement is limited to government bonds so far.
Investors
- Mutual funds have the potential to become a source of long-term finance with recent regulatory reforms.
- Pension funds are the main long-term investors, but face challenges such as limited investable assets, regulatory restrictions, and lack of expertise.
- Foreign investors are active in Mexican REITs (Fibras), showing potential for future involvement in infrastructure.
C. Infrastructure Financing: Developing a Financing Ecosystem
- The National Infrastructure Program (PNI) for 2014-2018 requires significant private capital, with 37% of the USD 596 billion target expected to come from the private sector.
- The PPP Law of 2012 and subsequent reforms have created a more enabling environment for private sector participation.
- A comprehensive ecosystem of policies, regulations, and instruments is needed to support long-term infrastructure financing.
- Mexico is one of the most mature PPP markets in LAC, but the framework can be strengthened to improve efficiency and investor confidence.
D. The Role of Development Institutions
- Development financial institutions such as Banobras and Fonadin play a crucial role in mobilizing private sector financing.
- They support induced credit and provide credit guarantees for infrastructure projects.
- Fonadin is a key player in infrastructure financing, offering credit guarantees and acting as a development bank.
- Banobras is the main development bank, providing support for infrastructure projects and facilitating private sector participation.
E. Conclusions and Recommendations
- Capital markets are an important complement to traditional financing sources, especially for long-term infrastructure projects.
- Infrastructure financing instruments need to be refined to better align with the needs of institutional investors.
- Pension funds should be encouraged to invest in a broader range of infrastructure instruments, including private placement vehicles.
- Regulatory and governance improvements are needed to enhance transparency, reduce transaction costs, and align investment models with the long-term nature of infrastructure projects.
- Development institutions should continue to play a catalytic role in infrastructure financing by shifting from direct lending to induced credit.
- Innovative equity instruments such as CKDs, CerPI, and FIBRA E are being developed to attract a wider range of investors.
- International partnerships like the CDPQ-Mexico CKD can help transfer expertise and increase the appeal of infrastructure investments to foreign investors.
Key Instruments and Products
- CKDs (Certificados de Capital de Desarrollo): Listed private equity funds that allow pension funds to invest in infrastructure with higher yields than project bonds.
- CerPI (Certificados de Proyectos de Inversión): A new equity investment vehicle that requires co-investment from non-Mexican entities, making it more attractive to sophisticated investors.
- FIBRA E (Fideicomiso de Bienes Raices para el Sector Energetico): A REIT-type fund for equity investments in mature infrastructure assets, especially in the energy sector.
- Project bonds: Debt instruments for infrastructure projects, with a significant portion backed by credit guarantees from development institutions.
Key Challenges
- Liquidity constraints in secondary markets limit the appeal of project bonds.
- Regulatory restrictions on unlisted instruments prevent pension funds from investing in a broader range of infrastructure assets.
- Limited expertise among pension funds and investment teams hinders efficient management of infrastructure investments.
- High transaction costs and disclosure requirements for listed instruments may deter certain infrastructure investments.
- Institutional investors need to be encouraged to develop more sophisticated investment models and strategies.
Opportunities
- Mexico's capital markets are relatively mature and have a strong potential to support infrastructure financing.
- Innovative instruments such as CKDs and CerPI are showing promise in attracting institutional investors.
- Foreign investment in infrastructure is increasing, especially in REITs, and could play a more significant role in the future.
- PPP frameworks are being refined to improve standardization, transparency, and efficiency in infrastructure project implementation.
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