世界经济论坛-首席风险官展望：2023年7月（英）-21页_1mb

Chief Risk Officers Outlook (July 2023)

Executive Summary

The report, based on surveys of chief risk officers in June 2023, highlights escalating global risks. Key concerns include volatile geopolitical and geoeconomic relations, economic headwinds from inflation and interest rates, armed conflicts, regulatory challenges, and emerging AI technology risks. Organizations face severe impacts from these factors, contributing to instability in markets and operations. AI advancements are noted as dual-use technologies with significant ethical and societal implications, requiring swift regulatory action.

Key Risks Identified

• Economic Headwinds: High inflation, rising interest rates, and supply chain disruptions have squeezed demand and increased borrowing costs. Debt distress is a major concern, with concerns about defaults and corporate viability.
• Geopolitical Fallout: Ongoing conflicts (e.g., Ukraine and multiple global wars) and trade restrictions exacerbate risks. Supply chain uncertainties persist due to environmental and geopolitical factors.
• Politics of Risk: Elections, regulatory changes, and compliance issues are top priorities. Ethical risks are seen as more complex than regulatory ones, with rising societal expectations for companies to address environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors.
• AI Technology Spotlight: Concerns center on reputation risks from data breaches and misuse, compounded by rapid AI development outpacing governance. Over 90% call for accelerated regulations, with organizations planning AI audits.

Recommendations

Proactive risk management and enhanced governance are recommended to mitigate these threats. Strengthened international cooperation on AI regulation and audit practices are crucial to avoid cascading crises and ensure alignment with societal values.