20171018-三星证券-Downstream_expansions_bode_well_5页_468kb
报告摘要
LS Industrial Systems (010120) Summary
Analyst Information
- Analyst: Jihae Yang
- Email: jh29.yang@samsung.com
- Phone: 822 2020 7867
- Date: 2017. 10. 18
Key Ratings & Price Targets
- Investment Rating: BUY
- Target Price: KRW71,000
- Current Price: KRW57,200
- Market Cap: KRW1.7t/USD1.5b
- Shares (float): 30,000,000
- 52-week high/low: KRW60,100/KRW38,100
- Avg daily trading value (60-day): KRW3.6b/USD3.2m
One-Year Performance
- LS Industrial Systems (%):
- 1M: -2.4
- 6M: 15.7
- 12M: 34.7
- Vs Kospi (%pts):
- 1M: -6.3
- 6M: -0.1
- 12M: 10.0
Key Changes
| Metric | New | Old | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|
| Recommendation | BUY | BUY | |
| Target Price (KRW) | 71,000 | 71,000 | 0.0% |
| 2017E EPS (KRW) | 3,965 | 3,938 | 0.7% |
| 2018E EPS (KRW) | 4,669 | 4,721 | -1.1% |
Samsung vs The Street
- No of estimates: 7
- Target price (KRW): 67,143
- Recommendation (average): 4.1
- Rating distribution:
- BUY★★★: 5
- BUY: 4
- HOLD: 3
- SELL: 2
- SELL★★★: 1
Key Highlights
- 3Q Performance: LS Industrial Systems is expected to report a 11% y-y increase in sales and a 56% y-y increase in operating profit, surpassing consensus by 6.5%.
- Growth Drivers: Continued earnings growth from the electricity-equipment and automation divisions, supported by IT capacity expansions, and improved performance at key subsidiaries like LS Metal.
- Future Prospects:
- IT industry capacity expansions in the near term.
- Growth in the new renewable energy market from next year.
- Potential for a KRW100b order from Kepco for a high-voltage DC transmission system.
- Private sector project orders and expansion into Southeast Asia for overseas contracts.
- PV EPC project in Japan, worth KRW46b, expected to be completed by end-2018.
- Railway Operation: Expected to win a Korea Train Express maintenance order in 4Q17 or 1Q18.
- Electric Vehicle Parts Unit: Continued strong performance.
Summary Financial Data (KRWb)
| Metric | 2016 | 2017E | 2018E | 2019E |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 2,214 | 2,389 | 2,605 | 2,828 |
| Net profit (adj) | 81 | 120 | 142 | 162 |
| EPS (adj) | 2,690 | 3,965 | 4,669 | 5,336 |
| EBITDA margin (%) | 9.7 | 10.9 | 10.5 | 10.2 |
| ROE (%) | 7.8 | 10.7 | 11.6 | 12.2 |
| P/E (adj) (x) | 21.3 | 14.4 | 12.3 | 10.7 |
| P/B (x) | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| EV/EBITDA (x) | 9.5 | 7.2 | 6.3 | 5.5 |
| Dividend yield (%) | 1.4 | 2.3 | 2.6 | 2.6 |
EPS Growth (y-y)
- 2017E: 47.4%
- 2018E: 17.8%
- 2019E: 14.3%
Dividend and Payout Ratios
- DPS (common):
- 2016: 800
- 2017E: 1,300
- 2018E: 1,500
- 2019E: 1,500
- Payout ratio:
- 2016: 29.1%
- 2017E: 32.1%
- 2018E: 31.4%
- 2019E: 27.5%
Dividend Yield
- 2016: 1.4%
- 2017E: 2.3%
- 2018E: 2.6%
- 2019E: 2.6%
Analyst Certification
- The views in this report accurately reflect the personal views of the analyst.
- No part of the analyst's compensation is directly or indirectly related to the inclusion of specific recommendations.
Disclaimer
- This report is for informational purposes only and does not constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities.
- The information is not tailored to individual client circumstances.
- Samsung Securities disclaims all responsibility or liability for any loss or damage arising from the use of this report.
- The report is subject to change without notice.
- Past performance is not indicative of future results.
- Foreign currency exchange rates may affect the value of securities.
Distribution Restrictions
- US: Only for major institutional investors as defined in Rule 15a-6.
- UK: Only for relevant persons as defined under FSMA.
- Korea: For private circulation only.
- Singapore: Only for institutional investors under the Securities and Futures Act.
Copyright
- Copyright © 2010 Samsung Securities Co., Ltd.
- All rights reserved.
- No part of this report may be reprinted, sold, or redistributed without prior written consent.
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