清洁能源技术评价方法研究_白俄罗斯（英文版）_77页_3mb

Clean Energy Technology Assessment Methodology (CETAM) Pilot Study Summary for Belarus

Core Content

The International Energy Agency (IEA) conducted a pilot study of the Clean Energy Technology Assessment Methodology (CETAM) in Belarus, alongside studies in Morocco and Kazakhstan. CETAM is a framework designed to assess and monitor clean energy technology markets, particularly in the Early Transition Countries (ETCs) and Southern and Eastern Mediterranean (SEMED) regions. The goal is to help policy makers and investors identify promising technologies and track their deployment over time.

Main Objectives of the IEA

• Secure energy access and supply for member countries.
• Promote sustainable energy policies that support economic growth and environmental protection.
• Improve market transparency through data collection and analysis.
• Support global collaboration on energy technology to ensure future energy supplies and reduce environmental impact.
• Engage with non-member countries and stakeholders to find solutions to energy challenges.

Key Findings from the Pilot Study

Renewable Energy Technologies (RETs)

• Renewable Energy Potential: Belarus has an estimated 60 Mtoe of renewable energy potential, which is more than three times its current energy demand.
• Resources: The country has abundant biomass resources due to its forest coverage, and has reasonable potential for solar PV, wind, and biogas.
• Current Capacity: Belarus has approximately 6 GW of renewable power generation capacity, mainly in biomass heat generation with marginal wind, solar, and biogas installations.
• Market Penetration: Renewables account for 5.5% of TPES and 1.1% of electricity generation. Biomass contributes about 8% of total heat generation.
• Government Targets: The government aims to increase renewables electricity generation from 0.3 GWh in 2014 to 2.6 GWh by 2035.
• Challenges: Existing FITs are relatively generous, but quotas to 2018 restrict the number of grid-connected renewable generators, deterring investment. Foreign investors face unfamiliarity with the local investment climate.
• Opportunities: The government is working to improve the investment climate by easing administrative requirements and enhancing legislative transparency.

Energy Efficiency Technologies (EETs)

• Energy Efficiency Potential: Belarus has significant potential for energy efficiency improvements, especially in the residential, industrial, and transport sectors.
• Current Penetration: Most priority EETs have less than 50% market penetration.
• Residential Sector: Accounts for 25% of total final consumption (TFC), with a focus on space heating and cooling.
• Industrial Sector: Despite a decline in industrial activity, energy demand remains high due to growing living standards.
• Transport Sector: Vehicle ownership has increased significantly, leading to higher energy consumption.
• Government Commitment: The government is dedicated to curbing energy demand and modernising the energy supply.
• Recommendations: Develop detailed energy efficiency indicators and improve legislation and market conditions for ESCOs to attract investment.

Structure of the Study

The report is structured to provide a comprehensive overview of Belarus's energy profile, the results of the pilot study for RETs and EETs, and lessons learned. It includes:

• Country Overview: Details about Belarus's geography, population, and economic context.
• Energy Profile: Analysis of energy supply and demand trends.
• Pilot Study Results:
  • RETs: Step 1 (Prioritisation), Step 2 (Indicators, current penetration and costs), and Step 3 (Technology penetration and cost monitoring).
  • EETs: Step 1 (Prioritisation), Step 2 (Indicators, metrics and data), and Step 3 (Technology monitoring system).
• Lessons Learned: Insights from the application of CETAM in Belarus.

Key Steps and Outputs of CETAM

• Step 1: Prioritisation of technologies based on potential and relevance.
• Step 2: Collection and analysis of indicators, current penetration, and costs.
• Step 3: Monitoring of technology penetration and cost trends over time.

Support and Collaboration

• The study was conducted in collaboration with the EBRD's FINTECC programme, which is funded by the Global Environment Facility (GEF).
• The GEF has provided over USD 13.5 billion in grants and USD 65 billion in co-financing for more than 3,900 projects in 165 developing countries.
• The IEA acknowledges the valuable contributions of Belarusian institutions, including BelTEI, EED, BelStat, and BelSEFF, as well as international partners like UNDP and the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development.

Conclusion

Belarus has substantial renewable and energy efficiency potential, but the current enabling environment is not fully developed. The CETAM methodology provides a structured approach to assess and monitor clean energy technology markets. The pilot study highlights the need for supportive policies, transparent legislation, and improved market conditions to enhance the deployment of clean energy technologies. The findings are expected to encourage more countries to adopt CETAM for sustainable development.