战略与国际研究中心-Select-Briefing-Vol-3,-No-1_2页_280kb
报告摘要
Central European Update Summary
Poland
- Currency Concerns: Polish Prime Minister Kazimierz Marcinkiewicz discussed weakening the zloty, which has been strengthening, leading to fears of reduced economic growth and export competitiveness. The zloty was trading at 3.78 to the euro in January 2006, compared to 4.8 in February 2004.
- Anti-Corruption Measures: The government approved the creation of an anti-corruption office, subordinated to the Prime Minister. This move aims to improve the civil service's image and increase treasury revenues by addressing corruption, which was a major issue in recent elections. Poland ranked 70th in Transparency International's 2005 corruption league table and was seen as the most corrupt EU nation.
Czech Republic
- Economic Growth: The Czech state agency for investment reported increased economic growth due to higher levels of foreign and domestic investment. The agency supported projects totaling 3.1 billion USD in 2005, a 28% increase from the previous year.
- Privatization of Aero Vodochody: The Czech government will privatize the country's largest aircraft manufacturer, Aero Vodochody, through a public tender until the end of January. The company, valued at 42 million USD, is a subcontractor for major aerospace firms like Airbus and Boeing.
Hungary
- NATO Involvement: Defense Minister Ferenc Juhasz announced Hungary's commitment to a significant role in NATO's peacekeeping mission in Kosovo, with 300 troops already stationed there and an additional 150 set to join by 15 January. Hungary also plans to take over the work of the Dutch provincial reconstruction team in Afghanistan.
- Euro Convergence: The European Commission granted Hungary more time to update its euro convergence program due to the lack of concrete plans to reduce the budget deficit. Hungary aims to adopt the euro by 2010 and must cut the deficit to under 3% of GDP by 2008, with an updated program due by 1 September 2006.
Slovakia
- Airport Privatization: The Slovak government recommended the TwoOne consortium as the buyer for the privatization of Bratislava and Kosice airports. The consortium, including Flughafen Wien, Penta, and Raiffeisen Zentralbank, would acquire 66% of the shares for 182 million euros and invest 220 million euros.
- Political Opposition: The main opposition party, Smer, led by Robert Fico, criticized the deal, claiming it is against Slovakia's strategic and economic interests. Fico warned that if Smer wins the 2006 elections, the privatization could be reversed.
- EU Relations: The Slovak foreign ministry urged Iran to halt nuclear activities and supported the possibility of a special IAEA meeting if cooperation is not forthcoming.
Baltic States Update
Latvia
- Military Deployment in Iraq: The Latvian parliament decided that the 109 servicemen in Iraq will remain until the end of 2006. New Defense Minister Linda Murniece stated that Latvia would not extend its stay beyond this date.
- Soviet Occupation Compensation: President Vaira Vik-Freiberga acknowledged the need to calculate the damage from Soviet occupation but considered demanding compensation from Russia unrealistic. She suggested establishing an intergovernmental commission to address bilateral issues.
Lithuania
- Euro Adoption: The Lithuanian parliament debated constitutional amendments necessary for euro adoption, aiming to pass them by 2007. Two amendments were passed in the first reading, one regarding the legal status of the Bank of Lithuania's chairperson and the other about currency issuance rights.
- Nuclear Power Plant Closure: Economy Minister Kestutis Dauksys proposed delaying the closure of the Ignalia nuclear power plant and discussing the possibility of extending its operations. The first unit was closed in December 2004, with the entire complex expected to be closed by 2009.
Estonia
- U.S. Visit: President Arnold Ruutel planned a working visit to the U.S. in January 2006, including lectures, meetings with U.S. officials, and visits to Silicon Valley and Estonian communities.
Southeast European Update
Bulgaria
- Gas Agreement Dispute: Bulgarian officials rejected Gazprom's attempt to change the existing barter agreement for gas deliveries. The agreement, signed in 1998, allows Gazprom to pay transit fees in gas, and Bulgaria opposes changing it to cash payments.
- CIA Prison Allegations: Foreign Minister Ivailo Kalfin denied allegations that Bulgaria hosted secret CIA prisons, stating there were none. This denial was supported by other countries like Ukraine and Romania.
Croatia
- Gas Pipeline Project: Croatia's state-owned gas transport company Plinacro announced a new gas pipeline project, worth 90 million euros, to be built by the Austrian-Italian consortium Habau-Ghizzoni. The pipeline will connect Karlovac with northern Adriatic gas deposits.
Romania
- U.S. Military Facilities: The Romanian government ratified a bill allowing the establishment of U.S. military facilities on its territory, as part of strengthening the strategic partnership with the U.S.
- Troop Deployment in Afghanistan: Romania's Mechanized Infantry Battalion 341 arrived in Kandahar for a six-month mission, replacing Battalion 151.
Slovenia
- Economic Freedom Ranking: Slovenia ranked 38th in the 2006 Index of Economic Freedom, up seven places from the previous year. It outperformed several EU member states, including France, Italy, Poland, and Hungary.
- EU Accession Support: Foreign Minister Dimitrij Rupel expressed support for Montenegro's EU accession and discussed improving economic ties. Prime Minister Janez Jansa also met with Montenegro in Maribor to enhance cooperation.
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