信用风险参数总结(2019年第二季度)
核心内容概述
本总结基于2019年第二季度的信用风险参数统计数据,涵盖了欧洲联盟(EU)及主要非欧盟国家(如奥地利、比利时、保加利亚、克罗地亚、塞浦路斯、捷克、希腊、匈牙利、爱尔兰、意大利)的银行(IRB banks)对不同类别对手方(Corporates, Retail等)的风险参数。这些参数包括百分位数(25th, 50th, 75th)和加权平均(W.A)等指标,用于衡量信用风险的分布和集中度。
主要观点
1. 风险参数的分布差异
- 各国家的信用风险参数在不同类别对手方中表现不一,反映了不同经济环境和金融体系下的风险状况。
- 风险参数的25th、50th、75th百分位数和加权平均(W.A)用于描述信用风险的分布情况。
2. 企业(Corporates)风险参数
- 企业贷款的信用风险参数整体较低,但部分国家(如意大利、希腊)的企业贷款风险较高。
- 在某些国家,如克罗地亚和希腊,企业贷款的违约率较高,尤其是SME(小型和中型企业)。
3. 零售(Retail)风险参数
- 零售贷款的风险参数普遍高于企业贷款,尤其是在某些国家(如意大利、希腊)中,零售贷款的违约率显著偏高。
- 一些国家的零售贷款中,特定类型(如Secured on real estate property、Qualifying Revolving、Other Retail)的风险参数差异较大。
4. 风险集中度
- 在一些国家,如希腊、意大利、匈牙利,零售贷款的风险集中度较高,表现为较高的75th百分位数和W.A。
- 某些国家(如捷克、丹麦)的零售贷款风险相对较低,尤其是Secured on real estate property类别。
关键信息汇总
奥地利 (Austria)
| 类别 |
N |
0.00% |
0.35% |
0.99% |
0.81% |
25th |
50th |
75th |
W.A |
| Corporates |
55 |
0.21% |
0.45% |
0.92% |
1.20% |
32.65% |
42.65% |
45.00% |
30.79% |
| Retail - Other Retail |
29 |
0.68% |
1.18% |
3.30% |
0.79% |
37.72% |
52.67% |
64.94% |
64.94% |
比利时 (Belgium)
| 类别 |
N |
0.00% |
0.45% |
1.39% |
1.17% |
25th |
50th |
75th |
W.A |
| Corporates |
70 |
0.19% |
0.54% |
1.31% |
1.95% |
30.24% |
40.65% |
45.00% |
26.77% |
| Retail - Other Retail |
61 |
1.05% |
1.76% |
3.16% |
1.81% |
26.37% |
35.42% |
49.14% |
31.97% |
保加利亚 (Bulgaria)
| 类别 |
N |
0.00% |
0.00% |
3.70% |
3.71% |
25th |
50th |
75th |
W.A |
| Corporates |
35 |
0.36% |
1.12% |
2.96% |
2.59% |
30.30% |
40.64% |
45.00% |
41.07% |
| Retail - Other Retail |
52 |
1.24% |
3.00% |
10.18% |
3.41% |
29.95% |
47.76% |
56.93% |
57.03% |
克罗地亚 (Croatia)
| 类别 |
N |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.02% |
5.25% |
25th |
50th |
75th |
W.A |
| Corporates |
26 |
0.54% |
1.13% |
2.49% |
3.20% |
23.00% |
37.25% |
45.00% |
38.63% |
| Retail - Other Retail |
48 |
0.75% |
1.67% |
4.29% |
2.08% |
33.18% |
40.26% |
57.29% |
38.28% |
塞浦路斯 (Cyprus)
| 类别 |
N |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
2.38% |
25th |
50th |
75th |
W.A |
| Corporates |
42 |
0.60% |
1.26% |
2.74% |
3.66% |
23.54% |
30.31% |
45.00% |
33.11% |
| Retail - Other Retail |
51 |
0.33% |
1.18% |
2.98% |
1.43% |
34.53% |
44.70% |
51.80% |
31.91% |
捷克 (Czech)
| 类别 |
N |
0.01% |
0.46% |
1.00% |
1.14% |
25th |
50th |
75th |
W.A |
| Corporates |
47 |
0.20% |
0.44% |
1.41% |
1.65% |
33.62% |
44.00% |
45.01% |
32.36% |
| Retail - Other Retail |
50 |
0.86% |
2.40% |
4.63% |
3.19% |
32.11% |
42.98% |
50.54% |
46.06% |
丹麦 (Denmark)
| 类别 |
N |
0.00% |
0.16% |
0.61% |
0.54% |
25th |
50th |
75th |
W.A |
| Corporates |
61 |
0.31% |
0.58% |
1.26% |
1.45% |
30.36% |
40.09% |
45.00% |
22.44% |
| Retail - Other Retail |
53 |
0.33% |
1.18% |
2.98% |
1.43% |
34.53% |
44.70% |
51.80% |
31.91% |
芬兰 (Finland)
| 类别 |
N |
0.00% |
0.00% |
0.00% |
2.38% |
25th |
50th |
75th |
W.A |
| Corporates |
61 |
0.30% |
0.55% |
1.01% |
1.08% |
29.51% |
38.76% |
45.00% |
35.75% |
| Retail - Other Retail |
65 |
1.54% |
3.07% |
4.08% |
1.92% |
25.61% |
35.46% |
48.75% |
43.64% |
希腊 (Greece)
| 类别 |
N |
0.00% |
0.00% |
3.65% |
7.29% |
25th |
50th |
75th |
W.A |
| Corporates |
39 |
0.64% |
2.77% |
10.39% |
8.45% |
29.23% |
37.07% |
45.00% |
40.85% |
| Retail - Other Retail |
59 |
0.73% |
1.75% |
6.20% |
20.36% |
20.88% |
40.02% |
55.16% |
48.81% |
匈牙利 (Hungary)
| 类别 |
N |
0.00% |
0.51% |
1.39% |
1.26% |
25th |
50th |
75th |
W.A |
| Corporates |
49 |
0.41% |
0.97% |
1.77% |
1.58% |
30.85% |
44.85% |
45.00% |
41.92% |
| Retail - Other Retail |
51 |
1.05% |
2.85% |
7.38% |
3.87% |
30.44% |
47.23% |
59.14% |
61.82% |
爱尔兰 (Ireland)
| 类别 |
N |
0.00% |
0.44% |
2.57% |
4.41% |
25th |
50th |
75th |
W.A |
| Corporates |
65 |
0.28% |
0.50% |
1.43% |
1.13% |
27.21% |
38.04% |
45.00% |
34.37% |
| Retail - Other Retail |
62 |
1.18% |
2.48% |
4.44% |
4.09% |
31.80% |
43.96% |
54.40% |
61.65% |
意大利 (Italy)
| 类别 |
N |
0.00% |
0.57% |
1.63% |
4.39% |
25th |
50th |
75th |
W.A |
| Corporates |
67 |
0.46% |
1.14% |
3.07% |
6.60% |
33.43% |
40.65% |
45.00% |
38.45% |
| Retail - Other Retail |
73 |
0.72% |
1.37% |
2.32% |
2.66% |
32.11% |
42.98% |
50.54% |
46.06% |
总结
- 风险参数差异:不同国家和不同类别对手方的风险参数差异显著,尤其是在零售贷款类别中,部分国家(如希腊、意大利)的零售贷款风险较高。
- 企业贷款风险较低:企业贷款的信用风险整体较低,但某些国家(如希腊)的中小企业(SME)贷款风险较高。
- 零售贷款风险集中:零售贷款的风险集中度在一些国家较高,尤其是Other Retail类别,其风险参数表现出较高的波动性。
- 数据来源:数据来源于COREP C 9.02,仅展示有超过3家银行报告的国家。
- 统计方法:使用百分位数(25th, 50th, 75th)和加权平均(W.A)来分析风险分布,有助于评估信用风险的集中趋势和尾部风险。