2012-03-13-皮尤-Romney_Leads_GOP_Contest,_Trails_in_Matchup_with_Obama_71页_504kb

Key Findings from Pew Research Center Poll (March 7-11, 2012)

Republican Primary

• Romney Leads: Mitt Romney has regained the lead in the Republican primary contest, with 33% support compared to Rick Santorum's 24%. Support for Santorum declined among conservative Republican and Republican-leaning voters.
• Conservative Backing: Conservative Republicans show stronger support for Ron Paul, while college graduates favor Romney.
• Extended Campaign: A growing number of Republican voters are concerned that the unresolved primary race is bad for the party, with opinions nearly evenly divided (47% vs. 43%).

General Election Views

• Obama Leads: Barack Obama holds a 12-point lead over Romney (54% approve vs. 42%) and an 18-point lead over Santorum (57% approve vs. 39%) among registered voters.
• Enthusiasm Gap: Fewer Democrats express strong enthusiasm for Obama compared to Republican voters for Romney, showing varied support across the primary winner.
• Most Likely Winner: Six-in-ten Americans (60%) think Obama will win in November if Romney is the Republican nominee; 24% if Santorum is the nominee.

Obama's Job Approval

• Approval Improves: Obama's job approval reaches 50% among all adults, with slight improvements across demographics, including Republicans (11%) and independents (37%).
• Economic Optimism: Views of the economy improved from 2011, with 44% saying conditions will be better a year from now, though modestly compared to last month.

Gas Prices

• Majority Negative View: 85% say gas prices news is mostly bad, up from 47% in November 2011; gas prices are seen as more negative than other economic sectors like the job situation.

Views of the Parties

• Democratic Party: Favorability improved to 49%, with women and older adults expressing more positive views. Democratic Party is seen as more favorable than the Republican Party.
• Republican Party: Still viewed negatively, with only 36% expressing a favorable opinion.
• Party Comparison: Democratic and Republican parties are tied on managing the federal government; Democrats lead in handling job situations, while Republicans are seen as more extreme in positions.

Health Care Law

• Even Division: 47% approve of the 2010 health care law, with partisan divides sharp: 84% of Republicans oppose it compared to 89% of Democrats.
• Individual Mandate: 74% of the public disapprove of the provision requiring coverage or penalties, with opposing views similar to overall law approval.

Media Queries Summary

• The data highlights trends in presidential candidate favorability, job performance, and public opinions on key issues leading into November 2012 elections.