2015-10-14-皮尤-Deep_Divisions_in_Turkey_as_Election_Nears_19页_353kb

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Summary of Pew Research Center Report: Deep Divisions in Turkey as Election Nears

Release Date: October 15, 2015

Political Context and Democracy

• Turkey faces a political deadlock from the June 2015 parliamentary elections, prompting a snap election in November 2015.
• Public opinion on democracy is evenly divided: 49% satisfied, 49% dissatisfied.
• Divisions are pronounced by demographics: Erdogan’s AKP supporters and devout Muslims are more satisfied, while younger, more educated Turks and CHP followers are disillusioned.

National Conditions and Concerns

• Overall dissatisfaction (54%) has risen since 2013 but reflects a recent shift from previous years' optimism.
• Top worries include rising prices (most pressing concern), crime, inequality, and lack of employment; these concern about equal or increasing severity among less educated and older Turks.
• Only 54% believe children will be financially better off.

Political Leadership and Institutions

• Erdogan's favorability declined significantly (33-36%), lowest since 2012.
• National institutions: Military has positive views (52% good influence); media is seen negatively (51% view it as a negative influence); other institutions have split or unfavorable ratings.

Foreign Relations

• Turks hold strongly negative views of major foreign powers: US (58% unfavorable), NATO (50%), EU (49%), China, Iran, Russia.
• Despite this, 55% support EU membership; views have remained steady.
• 47% oppose using military force to defend NATO allies, with Turks expressing skepticism about U.S. support.

Migration and ISIS

• 67% advocate allowing fewer refugees from Syria and Iraq; only 8% favor increased acceptance.
• Limited support (36%) for joining the anti-ISIS coalition; however, 48% approved of U.S. military actions against ISIS.

Key Trends

• A majority prefers democracy over a strong leader, but 36% are open to the latter due to perceived inefficiencies.
• Deep societal cleavages exist based on age, education, religious devotion, and political alignment.