2013年-IMF国际货币组织全球_Former_Yugoslav_Republic_of_Macedonia_Technical_Assistance_Evaluation_Report_51页_666kb

Summary of the Former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia: Technical Assistance Evaluation Report

Core Content

This report evaluates the effectiveness, efficiency, and impact of technical assistance (TA) and training provided by the IMF Statistics Department (STA) to the Former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia (FYRM) from 2000 to 2012. The evaluation was conducted by a mission from STA, which visited FYRM from September 26 to October 2, 2012, and aimed to assess the outcomes of the TA and training in improving macroeconomic statistics.

Main Purpose

The mission aimed to:

• Elicit views from the authorities and stakeholders on the effectiveness of STA’s TA and training.
• Discuss future TA and training priorities.
• Evaluate the progress made in data reporting and dissemination.

Scope

The evaluation covered all STA TA and training activities provided to FYRM since 2000. The missions included:

• 11 National Accounts (NA) missions
• 5 Balance of Payments (BOP) missions
• 4 Government Finance Statistics (GFS) missions
• 1 Price Statistics mission
• 1 Monetary and Financial Statistics (MFS) mission
• 1 Data Module ROSC mission (not a TA mission, but with diagnostic value)
• 1 SDDS assessment mission

Training was provided to 53 Macedonian officials in macroeconomic statistics.

Methods

The evaluation used the following methods:

• Review of TA-related Fund documents and reports.
• Summarizing findings of past missions and their results.
• Conducting interviews and questionnaires with authorities and data users.
• Collaboration with the IMF's European Department (EUR) to assess the effectiveness of TA for surveillance purposes.

Key Findings

1. Effectiveness of TA and Training

• TA and training were found to be very useful in improving the statistical system of FYRM.
• The approach of subject-specific TA following the Data Module ROSC was effective in setting the context for future TA.
• The Data Module ROSC provided a comprehensive assessment beyond methodology, aiding institutional development.

2. Progress in Statistical Systems

• FYRM graduated from GDDS to SDDS in November 2011.
• There were improvements in data quality and new data sets became available.
• Implementation of recommendations varied across areas, with some delays due to staff shortages and turnover, particularly in GFS.

3. Training Impact

• Training was emphasized as essential for understanding international standards.
• It contributed to the implementation of actions to meet EU requirements.
• Training should be more specific to the country's statistical development level, and where not feasible, integrated into TA on-the-job training.

4. Coordination and Collaboration

• Agencies appreciated the consistency of TA with EU programs such as IPA.
• STA could benefit from closer collaboration with other donors to avoid duplication and ensure optimal support.

5. TA Reports and Management

• The quality of TA reports, backstopping, and management reports was generally adequate and improved over time.
• The mission noted the importance of involving top management in setting priorities for recommendations to ensure resource availability and alignment with the agency's strategy.

6. Modality of TA

• Short-term missions were deemed appropriate due to resource constraints.
• Authorities requested remote TA for areas where significant improvements had been made.

Lessons Learned

• Diagnostic missions should be conducted first to identify needs and then a work program developed accordingly.
• TA should be tailored to the needs and priorities of the data compiling agencies.
• Flexibility and continuous support are important to sustain the momentum of TA work.
• TA recommendations should be realistic with available resources.
• Enhanced communication and collaboration among stakeholders are necessary for better coordination and effectiveness.
• The use of a results-based management (RBM) framework is recommended for improved TA planning, implementation, and monitoring.

Recommendations

For Technical Assistance (TA)

• Continue with a diagnostic mission followed by a work program based on identified needs.
• Tailor TA to the specific needs and priorities of the agencies, with experts having knowledge of the country and regional context.
• Allow sufficient time between visits for implementation of recommendations.
• Provide realistic recommendations aligned with available resources.
• Enhance communication and collaboration among stakeholders, including the IMF, authorities, and donors.
• Apply an RBM framework for better TA planning and monitoring.
• Offer remote TA support to ensure continuity and successful implementation.

For Training

• Focus on skills relevant to the implementation of TA recommendations.
• Use country-specific training formats rather than generic ones.
• Conduct training in collaboration with other donors where possible.
• Include hands-on sessions and opportunities for countries to share experiences.

Future Priorities

Technical Assistance

• National accounts, especially GDP by expenditure.
• Price statistics (CPI and PPI).
• Monetary and financial statistics, including OFC survey and reconciliation of stocks and flows.
• GFS and source data.
• Remote TA for external sector statistics.

Training

• System of National Accounts 2008 (2008 SNA) and ESA 2010.
• MFSM 2000 and GFSM 2001, with specific focus on aligning GFSM 2001 with ESA 95 or ESA 2010.

Conclusion

The mission concluded that STA’s TA and training had made a significant contribution to the improvement of FYRM's macroeconomic statistics. However, there is a need for more coordination, realistic recommendations, and continuous support to ensure long-term sustainability and effectiveness of the statistical system.