战略与国际研究中心-FYSA_-For-Your-Situational-Awareness-l-Issue-16_4页_552kb

Summary of the Document

Core Content

The document provides an overview of upcoming and recent events related to national security and defense policy, including lectures, discussions, and congressional testimonies. It also includes analyses of U.S. defense strategy and budgeting practices, as well as critiques of the 2015 National Security Strategy (NSS) and the broader counter-ISIL efforts. The content is centered around the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) and its International Security Program (ISP), highlighting research and commentary from its scholars.

Upcoming Events

• RELOOKING EUROPE: THE ROLE OF LAND FORCES
  Date: Monday, March 2, 2015
  Time: 10:00-11:00 a.m.
  Location: CSIS, 1616 Rhode Island Ave., NW
  Focus: Discuss the role of land forces in European security.

• PERSPECTIVES ON EAST ASIA: GENERAL VINCENT K. BROOKS
  Date: Wednesday, March 4, 2015
  Time: 1:30-3:00 p.m.
  Location: CSIS, 1616 Rhode Island Ave., NW
  Focus: Analyze U.S. perspectives on East Asia.

• MILITARY STRATEGY FORUM: GENERAL JOHN E. HYTEN
  Date: Tuesday, March 10, 2015
  Time: 9:00-10:00 a.m.
  Location: CSIS, 1616 Rhode Island Ave., NW
  Focus: Explore military strategy in the context of current challenges.

• SMART WOMEN, SMART POWER: ANNE-MARIE SLAUGHTER
  Date: Tuesday, March 10, 2015
  Time: 2:30-4:00 p.m.
  Location: CSIS, 1616 Rhode Island Ave., NW
  Focus: Discuss the role of women in global leadership and policy.

• MARITIME SECURITY DIALOGUE: A COOPERATIVE STRATEGY FOR 21ST CENTURY SEAPower
  Date: Friday, March 13, 2015
  Time: 11:30 a.m.-12:30 p.m.
  Location: CSIS, 1616 Rhode Island Ave., NW
  Focus: Address maritime security and the need for a cooperative strategy.

Recent Events

• GOVERNING URANIUM: FROM PIT TO PORT
  Launched a new interactive website based on research findings about uranium governance.

• SMART WOMEN, SMART POWER: THE FUTURE OF AFGHANISTAN
  Featured a conversation with Rula Ghani, the first lady of Afghanistan.

• DEBATING USE OF FORCE AGAINST ISIL
  Highlighted the proposed Authorization for Use of Military Force (AUMF) against ISIL, and the debate surrounding its language and implications.

• THE 2015 NATIONAL SECURITY STRATEGY: LOTS OF WORDS, BUT FAILS TO DELIVER
  A critique of the 2015 NSS, arguing that it lacks concrete strategies, fails to explain the meaning of "leadership," and does not provide a coherent plan for the national security team.

Key Points in the AUMF Debate

1. Repeal of 2002 AUMF:
   The proposed AUMF would repeal the 2002 AUMF against Iraq but not the 2001 AUMF, which has been used for military actions against ISIL. This raises concerns about the relevance and scope of the 2001 AUMF.

2. Three-Year Sunset Clause:
   The proposed AUMF includes a sunset clause, which may signal a short-term commitment. However, without repealing the 2001 AUMF, the sunset may not have a significant impact on ongoing operations.

3. Prohibition of Enduring Offensive Ground Combat Operations:
   The draft AUMF restricts the use of "enduring offensive ground combat operations," which President Obama aims to limit to special operations and advisory roles. However, the term lacks military clarity and has been met with resistance from some lawmakers.

4. Lack of Nonmilitary Strategy:
   The AUMF is silent on nonmilitary aspects of the counter-ISIL strategy, despite the recognition that military force alone is insufficient to combat ISIL.

Analysis of Defense Contracting Trends

• Data Linkage:
  Starting in 2012, the Department of Defense (DoD) began populating data fields that allow linking contract obligations to OMB budget data.

• Contract Spending Trends (2012–2014):

  • Overall defense-funded contract obligations declined by 22%.
  • Military Construction and Military Sales Program accounts saw the most significant cuts (40% and 39%, respectively).
  • Procurement account declined at the same rate as overall defense contracts (22%).
  • Operations and Maintenance (O&M) and Research, Development, Test, and Evaluation (RDT&E) accounts experienced smaller declines (16% and 19%, respectively).

• RDT&E vs. R&D Contracts:
  Only 51% of RDT&E-funded contracts are for R&D, while 70% of R&D contracts are funded from the RDT&E account. This highlights the complexity of categorizing defense spending.

Additional Sections

• Multimedia:

  • Watch ISP scholars discuss the president's budget and defense implications.
  • Listen to a discussion with Clark Murdock on the 2015 NSS.

• Congressional Testimony:

  • Read Andrew Hunter's testimony on "Contracting and the Industrial Base."
  • Read Ryan Crotty's testimony on "Alternative Budgets and Strategic Choices."

• Media Highlights:

  • Quotes from Kathleen Hicks, Ryan Crotty, and Stephanie Sanok Kostro provide insights into the expectations and realities of defense policy and strategy.

• Recent Publications:

  • "The FY 2016 Budget: The Defense Impact"
  • "Balancing Strategy, Resources, and Politics"
  • "Intelligence Integration and the Syrian CW Threat"
  • "The Uncertain Transition from Stability to Peace"

Conclusion

The document underscores the need for a more coherent and practical national security strategy, emphasizing the importance of balancing military and nonmilitary approaches, ensuring clear communication of policy goals, and addressing the challenges of resource allocation and oversight. It also highlights the significance of data-driven analysis in understanding defense spending trends and the potential for overambitious projects in conflict zones like Afghanistan.