国会预算办公室-国会预算办公室的透明度：2024年计划和2023年审查（英）-2024.4-23页_3mb

Congressional Budget Office (CBO) Transparency: 2023 Review and 2024 Plans Summary

Introduction:
CBO prioritizes transparency to enhance credibility, public understanding, and equitable access to analyses. Activities include testifying before Congress, releasing data, explaining methods, evaluating accuracy, comparing projections with others, and engaging experts.

2024 Plans:

1. Testifying & Q&A: Continue hearings, answers to Congress, and outreach; focused briefings on key reports.
2. Explaining Methods: Publish technical details on models (e.g., Bayesian VAR for economic projections, state-dependent Phillips curve) and process improvements.
3. Data Releases: Expand datasets for 26 programs, update baselines, and improve accessibility (e.g., "waterfall" model for discretionary spending).
4. Accuracy Analysis: Post-annual reviews of 2023/2024 budget and economic projections.
5. Policy Impact Estimations: Use scenarios to assess cap legislative impacts, hypersonic weapons, and student loan reforms.
6. Uncertainty Characterization: Interactive tools (e.g., debt sensitivity, IMD exclusion uncertainty) to illustrate stakeholder risks.
7. Data Visualizations: Create infographics, visual summaries, and chartbooks (e.g., healthcare distribution, F-35 affordability).

2023 Activities & Findings:

• Testimony & Answers: Appeared at 8 Congressional hearings, published 25+ responses.
• Explanatory Products: Launched 100+ reports/slide decks/data files on healthcare, defense, climate adaptation risks, etc.
• Data Publication: Updated 59 reports with linked files, including Pell Grant funding details.
• Accuracy Analysis: Found deficits underestimated in 2023 (admin actions drove inaccuracies), outperformed administration forecasts.
• Policy Comparisons: Compared budget projections with Administration/private sector forecasts.
• Engagement: Panel of Economic Advisers reviews held quarterly; external experts contributed to 23 reports. Mobile briefings and presentations (180+ presentations in 2023) increased accessibility.
• Key Innovations: Dynamic tools assessing climate/adaptation risks; revised subsidies’ impacts; new force structure projections via interactive simulation.

Objectives: Promoting objective research and expert feedback; enhancing credibility in fiscal/stability studies. The comprehensive strategy uses transparency to forecast policy alternatives' economic and fiscal effects.

Expertise & Scope: Government and academia collaboration ensures rigorous model accuracy and diverse expert input on data transparency and policy impacts.