2009-04-30-奥纬咨询-Factoring_Risk_into_Transportation_Logistics_Sourcing_6页_127kb

Surface Transportation Risk Integration & Cost Optimization Summary

Current Transportation Challenges

The surface transportation industry faces significant headwinds from:

• Economic uncertainty and cost pressures.
• Excess capacity leading suppliers to aggressive cost-cutting and capacity reduction.
• High bankruptcy risk among carriers and shippers.
• Disruptions across all transport modes (truck, rail, maritime/3PL).
• Volatility in service levels and operating costs.

Risk Mitigation Strategies & Key Findings

1. Shift in Sourcing: Shippers are fundamentally changing their approach to logistics sourcing. They must explicitly balance cost reduction with risk minimization.
2. Carrier Risk Profile: Financial and operational carrier risks are critical factors for shippers to understand and integrate into negotiations and sourcing decisions.
3. Total Risk Approach: A methodology combining Financial Risk (probability of default) and Operational Risk (disruption volatility) is needed.
4. Risk Heat Map: Mapping carriers against these risks identifies high-priority partners based on risk likelihood and spend. High-risk carriers aren't always the largest. This analytics-driven approach helps pinpoint vulnerability.
5. Strategic Actions:
   • Proactive risk mitigation requires supplementing traditional cost strategies.
   • Consolidate carriers (core carrier program).
   • Optimize modes, routes, and negotiate rates.
   • Evaluate physical flow redundancies and outsourcing.
6. Cost Saving Potential: Applying this holistic, risk-informed approach to sourcing can yield significant annual cost savings (estimated 5-15%).
7. Benefits Beyond Cost: Reduces supply chain disruption risk, enhances strategic control with key carriers, and prepares for Plan B scenarios.
8. Organizational Resilience: Stronger carrier relationships and well-managed risk profile support future growth.
9. Consulting Expertise: Oliver Wyman offers capabilities in risk management, supply chain strategy, and transportation logistics to implement these strategies and optimize sourcing.

In essence, managing risk requires a shift from purely transactional carrier selection to a strategic evaluation of a carrier's overall risk profile integrated into sourcing, requiring new analytical tools and approaches.