战略与国际研究中心-Korea-Chair-Monitor-Vol-1-Issue-2_4页_1mb

报告摘要

Korea Chair Monitor Summary (June 13–June 26, 2013)

Core Content

The Korea Chair Monitor is a biweekly publication by the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), providing an overview of key events and developments in South Korea (ROK), North Korea (DPRK), China, and the United States. The summary covers a range of topics, including ROK-China relations, ROK-U.S. relations, domestic politics, economic policy, and North Korea's activities.

ROK-China Relations

Park Geun-hye-Xi Jinping Summit: The leaders agreed on a joint communiqué that emphasizes the unacceptability of North Korea's nuclear program and the need for cooperation to achieve denuclearization and peace on the Korean Peninsula.
Strategic Cooperation Tasks: The two nations outlined three major tasks for the next five years:
1. Enhance strategic communication via a hotline between ROK's chief of national security and China's state councilor for foreign affairs.
2. Improve economic and social cooperation, aiming for an early conclusion of the ROK-China FTA and a $300 billion trade target by 2015.
3. Promote people and liberal arts exchanges.
Six-Party Talks: Both leaders expressed hope for an early resumption of the talks.
Diplomatic Dinner: A dinner hosted by Xi Jinping at the Great Hall of the People, attended by over 140 Korean and Chinese participants, concluded the summit.

ROK-U.S. Relations

Jet Fighter Procurement Bidding: Seoul initiated a bidding process to replace its aging F-4 and F-5 jets with 60 new fighters, with Lockheed Martin, Boeing, and EADS as candidates.
Budget Concerns: The proposals have exceeded the pre-planned budget of 8.3 trillion won (7.3 billion USD).
Decision Delay: The final decision may be postponed to early next month if the budget overruns continue.

Obama Extends Economic Sanctions on North Korea

Sanctions Extension: President Obama announced the extension of economic sanctions on North Korea under the International Emergency Economic Power Act.
Reasons for Sanctions: The sanctions target North Korea's proliferation of weapons-usable fissile material and are justified due to the perceived threat to U.S. national security, foreign policy, and economy.

Domestic Politics

Northern Limit Line (NLL) Controversy: The Saenuri Party and Democratic Party clashed over former President Roh Moo-hyun's remarks at the 2007 inter-Korean summit regarding the Yellow Sea border.
Suh Sang-kee's Claim: He argued that Roh undermined ROK sovereignty by referring to the NLL.
Opposition Response: The opposition party accused the ruling party of using the summit records to cover up the NIS election scandal.

Economic Policy

Creative Economy Committee: The Saenuri Party established a Special Committee for President Park's "Creative Economy" on June 11, with its first meeting held on June 14 to discuss the main economic agenda.

North Korea

Nuclear Envoys in Beijing: North Korea's chief nuclear envoy, Kim Kye-gwan, met with China's nuclear envoy, Wu Dawei, and foreign minister, Wang Yi, in Beijing.
Six-Party Talks: Both sides called for an early resumption of the talks.
Kim's Remarks: Kim emphasized that denuclearization is a legacy of Kim Il Sung and Kim Jong II.
UN Press Conference: North Korea's UN ambassador, Sin Son-ho, stated the desire for a peace treaty to replace the armistice, but warned of ongoing war threats due to U.S. military presence, sanctions, and joint exercises.
Hacking Incident: The Anonymous Operation North Korea group announced plans to release missile and military documents obtained via hacking, causing several North Korean websites to go offline.

Kaesong Industrial Complex

Economic Impact: A Unification Ministry survey revealed that South Korean firms in the Kaesong Industrial Complex have lost $910 million due to its suspension.
Insurance and Assistance: Business owners requested an increase in the inter-Korean economic cooperation insurance policy and more support from the South-North cooperation fund.
Trade Decline: Inter-Korean trade in May was only $320,000, a 1% decrease from $23.4 million in April.

Looking Ahead

July 2–4: Sixth round of Korea-China FTA negotiations in Busan.
July 2: North Korean Foreign Minister Pak Ui-chun will attend the ASEAN Regional Forum in Brunei.
July 4: First South Korea-Australia security dialogue.
July 1–2: High-level talks between South Korea and the U.S. in Wals to renew the cost-sharing agreement for U.S. troops in South Korea.