CB_Insights-2021年需密切关注的12大科技趋势（英文）-2021.6-58页_6mb

报告摘要

2021 Tech Trends to Watch Closely

Core Content

2021 is set to be a pivotal year for technology, shaped by the lingering effects of the pandemic and the acceleration of digital transformation. The year will focus on resilience, innovation in AI, and the mainstreaming of previously niche fields such as psychedelic medicine. The following trends are expected to have a significant impact on businesses and society.

Main Trends

1. Chief Prepper Officer

Resilience is becoming a central corporate function as companies prepare for unprecedented external disruptions.
Businesses are rethinking supply chains, diversifying operations, and leveraging AI to predict demand and improve response times.
Examples include Apple diversifying manufacturing to Vietnam and India, and startups like project44 and RELEX Solutions gaining traction in supply chain management.

2. The Quantum Time Bomb

Quantum computing is becoming more powerful and accessible, threatening current encryption methods.
Quantum supremacy was demonstrated by Google and China, with potential to break existing encryption protocols like RSA.
Companies are developing post-quantum cryptography to secure data against quantum threats, with major players like IBM and Microsoft leading the charge.
Startups such as ISARA and PQShield are also entering the space, and the US National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) is expected to release standards next year.

3. Simulating Empathy

AI technologies that interpret and respond to human emotions will become a priority for businesses.
These systems can analyze text, voice, and facial expressions to improve customer engagement and service.
Affectiva and Cogito are leading the charge in this space, with applications in healthcare, automotive, and mental health.
Privacy and ethical concerns remain significant challenges, especially with the potential for bias and misuse of emotional data.

4. Trip Treatment

Psychedelic medicines are gaining traction as potential treatments for mental health issues.
Clinical trials have increased, with the FDA granting breakthrough status to MDMA and psilocybin for PTSD and depression.
Tech is playing a key role in facilitating remote access to these treatments, with companies like ATAI Life Sciences and Mind Cure Health introducing digital therapeutics.
Investment in this sector has surged, with equity funding reaching $448M in 2020.
Challenges include regulatory hurdles and social stigma, though platforms like Clubhouse and Entheon Biomedical's acquisition of HaluGen show growing interest.

5. The Rise of Exclusivity

Exclusivity networks are emerging as a new model for social media.
These platforms, such as Clubhouse, The League, and Raya, use invitation-only access to build a sense of community and privacy.
The appeal of exclusivity lies in intimate engagement and selective access, which can be more valuable than traditional network effects.
Privacy concerns and moderation challenges are significant, especially with the potential for hate speech and extremist groups.

Key Insights

Resilience will be a key focus for businesses as they adapt to global uncertainties.
Quantum computing poses a serious threat to current data security, prompting a shift toward post-quantum cryptography.
Emotion AI is evolving to better understand and respond to human emotions, with applications across multiple industries.
Psychedelic medicine is moving toward mainstream acceptance, with tech playing a crucial role in its development and delivery.
Exclusivity is reshaping social media, with a growing number of invite-only platforms gaining traction and attention.

Conclusion

2021 will be a year of technological refinement and retooling, as companies and individuals adapt to a world reshaped by the pandemic and a rapidly evolving tech landscape. The trends outlined above reflect a shift toward more secure, empathetic, and exclusive digital experiences, with significant implications for both business and society.

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