2025-06-29-牛津经济研究院-拟议的洛杉矶快餐条例的影响（英）_8页_240kb

Summary of the Proposed Los Angeles Fast Food Ordinance Impacts

Core Content

The proposed Los Angeles Fast Food Ordinance introduces new training and scheduling requirements for quick-service restaurant operators, which are expected to have significant financial and operational impacts on the industry. The analysis, conducted by Oxford Economics on behalf of Save Local Restaurants, provides cost estimates and potential consequences based on current industry data and similar policies in other cities.

Main Requirements of the Ordinance

The ordinance has two main components:

1. Training Requirements: Employees must attend at least six hours of mandatory off-site training annually, with restaurant operators covering the costs of the training and associated record-keeping.
2. Scheduling Requirements: Employers must provide work schedules at least 14 days in advance, with penalties for changes to shift details, including time, date, location, or hours worked.

Key Cost Implications

Annual Cost per Restaurant

• For a restaurant with 25 employees:

  • Training: $10,490
  • Scheduling: $37,822
  • Total: $48,312

• For a restaurant with 50 employees:

  • Training: $20,980
  • Scheduling: $75,644
  • Total: $96,624

Total Annual Cost Across Los Angeles

• Total estimated cost: $54.7 million
• Labor cost increase: 7.1%

Potential Impacts on the Industry

Financial Burden

• The proposed ordinance adds a substantial financial burden to quick-service restaurants, particularly in the form of increased labor costs.
• These costs may be exacerbated by existing challenges in the industry, such as employee layoffs, reduced hours, and closures.

Behavioral and Operational Changes

• The scheduling requirements are expected to lead to changes in employee behavior, including reduced flexibility and increased part-time employment.
• Restaurant owners report that the new rules increase managerial workload and administrative complexity, potentially leading to higher onboarding and turnover costs.

Consumer and Managerial Effects

• The rule may result in higher food prices for consumers due to increased operational costs.
• Managers may face greater responsibilities in monitoring and ensuring compliance with the new regulations, which could impact their ability to manage other aspects of the business effectively.

Unquantified Costs

In addition to the direct costs, the ordinance may incur:

• Administrative costs: Software upgrades, record-keeping, and hiring additional staff.
• Legal and compliance costs: Increased liability and enforcement risks.
• Training costs: Educating both staff and management on new procedures and regulations.

Impact on Employees

• The ordinance may reduce employee flexibility, making it harder for workers to manage personal obligations or adjust their schedules.
• A study in Seattle showed only a modest improvement in shift notice, indicating limited behavioral change.
• Involuntary part-time employment may increase, as opportunities for extra hours may become less frequent due to strict scheduling rules.

Conclusion

The proposed ordinance is likely to have a substantial financial impact on Los Angeles quick-service restaurants, increasing labor costs by 7.1% annually. It may also reduce operational flexibility, increase administrative burdens, and lead to higher turnover and onboarding costs. While the intention of the policy is to improve working conditions, the potential negative effects on the restaurant industry and its workforce must be carefully considered.

Footnotes and References

• Data sources and methodologies are detailed in the appendix and cited in the original report.
• Similar policies in New York and Seattle have shown limited behavioral change among employers and employees.
• The report is confidential and may not be published without prior written permission from Save Local Restaurants.