2006-04-19-皮尤-Public_Disillusionment_with_Congress_at_Record_Levels_50页_150kb

Summary

The anti-incumbent sentiment in the United States was at a record high in April 2006, with widespread public dissatisfaction toward Congress. By a 51%-41% margin, voters favored changing partisan control of Congress, marking a strong anti-incumbent wave not seen since 1994.

The 109th Congress was perceived to have achieved little, with 41% of voters blaming Republican leaders, while 75% disapproved of President Bush as president (his lowest rating). This fatigue toward the administration weakened theGOP, especially since voters saw Congress's performance as poor (including evaluations on immigration, ethics, and reform) while highlighting Democratic strength on government ethics and reform.

Democrats held a 10-point advantage in the Congressional vote test, a rare margin since 1994, mainly due to gains from independent voters (51% leaned Democratic). However, partisan polarization in evaluations of Congress and the parties was deep. Anti-incumbent sentiment was particularly strong among independents and liberal Democrats, though it also impacted segments of moderate and liberal Republicans.

A bright spot for Republicans was the perception that their leaders were stronger (Republican vs. Democratic leaders 53%-26%). Yet, record anti-incumbent mood in 2006 likely influenced voter intentions and turnout in the upcoming midterm elections.